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A Macroeconometric Disequilibrium Analysis of Current and Future Migration from Eastern Europe into West Germany

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  • Franz, Wolfgang
  • Oser, Ursula
  • Winker, Peter

Abstract

This paper attempts to evaluate the impact of current and future immigration flows on major macroeconomic variables of the West German economy. The analysis is based on a macroeconometric disequilibrium model for the West German economy. This model is extended until 1995 and used for several simulation experiments. Special attention is given to the notion that the effects of immigration are regime-specific, i.e., they depend on the type of disequilibrium prevailing on the goods and labor market.

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Bibliographic Info

Article provided by Springer in its journal Journal of Population Economics.

Volume (Year): 7 (1994)
Issue (Month): 2 ()
Pages: 217-34

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Handle: RePEc:spr:jopoec:v:7:y:1994:i:2:p:217-34

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  1. Franz, Wolfgang & Gordon, Robert J., 1993. "German and American wage and price dynamics : Differences and common themes," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 37(4), pages 719-754, May.
  2. Franz, Wolfgang & Konig, Heinz, 1990. "A disequilibrium approach to unemployment in the Federal Republic of Germany," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 34(2-3), pages 413-422, May.
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Cited by:
  1. Michael Beenstock & Jeffrey Fisher, 1997. "The macroeconomic effects of immigration: Israel in the 1990s," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer, vol. 133(2), pages 330-358, 06.
  2. Velling, Johannes, 1995. "Die Arbeitserlaubnis als Instrument der Arbeitsmarktpolitik zur Steuerung internationaler Zuwanderung auf den Arbeitsmarkt," ZEW Discussion Papers 95-16, ZEW - Zentrum für Europäische Wirtschaftsforschung / Center for European Economic Research.
  3. Oser, Ursula, 1995. "Remittances of guest workers to their home countries: An econometric analysis," Discussion Papers 25, University of Konstanz, Center for International Labor Economics (CILE).
  4. Göggelmann, Klaus & Franz, Wolfgang & Winker, Peter, 1997. "Einige Wirkungen von steuerlichen Umfinanzierungsmaßnahmen in einem makroökonometrischen Ungleichgewichtsmodell für die westdeutsche Volkswirtschaft," ZEW Discussion Papers 97-19, ZEW - Zentrum für Europäische Wirtschaftsforschung / Center for European Economic Research.

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