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Failure time prediction using adaptive logical analysis of survival curves and multiple machining signals

Author

Listed:
  • Ahmed Elsheikh

    (École Polytechnique de Montréal)

  • Soumaya Yacout

    (École Polytechnique de Montréal)

  • Mohamed-Salah Ouali

    (École Polytechnique de Montréal)

  • Yasser Shaban

    (Helwan University in Cairo)

Abstract

This paper develops a prognostic technique called the logical analysis of survival curves (LASC). This technique is used to learn the degradation process of any physical asset, and consequently to predict its failure time (T). It combines the reliability information that is obtained from a classical Kaplan–Meier non-parametric curve to that obtained from online measurements of multiple sensed signals of degradation. An analysis of these signals by the machine learning technique, logical analysis of data (LAD), is performed to exploit the instantaneous knowledge about the state of degradation of the asset studied. The experimental results of the predictions of failure times for cutting tools are reported. The results show that LASC prognostic results are better than the results obtained by well-known machine learning techniques. Other advantages of the proposed techniques are also discussed.

Suggested Citation

  • Ahmed Elsheikh & Soumaya Yacout & Mohamed-Salah Ouali & Yasser Shaban, 2020. "Failure time prediction using adaptive logical analysis of survival curves and multiple machining signals," Journal of Intelligent Manufacturing, Springer, vol. 31(2), pages 403-415, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:joinma:v:31:y:2020:i:2:d:10.1007_s10845-018-1453-4
    DOI: 10.1007/s10845-018-1453-4
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. An, Dawn & Kim, Nam H. & Choi, Joo-Ho, 2015. "Practical options for selecting data-driven or physics-based prognostics algorithms with reviews," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 133(C), pages 223-236.
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    3. D. Yu. Pimenov & A. Bustillo & T. Mikolajczyk, 2018. "Artificial intelligence for automatic prediction of required surface roughness by monitoring wear on face mill teeth," Journal of Intelligent Manufacturing, Springer, vol. 29(5), pages 1045-1061, June.
    4. Endre Boros & Yves Crama & Peter Hammer & Toshihide Ibaraki & Alexander Kogan & Kazuhisa Makino, 2011. "Logical analysis of data: classification with justification," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 188(1), pages 33-61, August.
    5. Ahmed Ragab & Mohamed-Salah Ouali & Soumaya Yacout & Hany Osman, 2016. "Remaining useful life prediction using prognostic methodology based on logical analysis of data and Kaplan–Meier estimation," Journal of Intelligent Manufacturing, Springer, vol. 27(5), pages 943-958, October.
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    Cited by:

    1. Hussein A. Taha & Soumaya Yacout & Yasser Shaban, 2023. "Autonomous self-healing mechanism for a CNC milling machine based on pattern recognition," Journal of Intelligent Manufacturing, Springer, vol. 34(5), pages 2185-2205, June.

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