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The dynamics of fertility amongst Palestinians in Israel from 1980 to 2000

Author

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  • Petra Nahmias

    (Princeton University)

  • Guy Stecklov

    (Hebrew University)

Abstract

A dynamic stalled fertility transition is the best way to describe the recent fertility experience of Muslim Palestinians in Israel. It is generally assumed that once fertility levels fall by 10%, transition is well underway. Muslims in Israel experienced rapid fertility decline from TFR levels near 9 in the 1960s to about 4.5 in the early 1980s, but period TFRs have remained essentially constant since then. This article uses multilevel statistical models and census data to examine the changing determinants of fertility amongst Muslim Palestinians in Israel during the stage when aggregate fertility levels approached stagnation. The results show that as educational levels increased among Israeli Muslim women, the strength and nature of the relationship between education and fertility has changed at both the individual and community levels. We also explore other potential determinants of fertility such as minority status and cultural affiliation—exciting new directions for explaining the stagnation of aggregate fertility levels.

Suggested Citation

  • Petra Nahmias & Guy Stecklov, 2007. "The dynamics of fertility amongst Palestinians in Israel from 1980 to 2000," European Journal of Population, Springer;European Association for Population Studies, vol. 23(1), pages 71-99, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:eurpop:v:23:y:2007:i:1:d:10.1007_s10680-006-9113-3
    DOI: 10.1007/s10680-006-9113-3
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Øystein Kravdal, 2012. "Further evidence of community education effects on fertility in sub-Saharan Africa," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 27(22), pages 645-680.
    2. Thorsten Janus, 2013. "The political economy of fertility," Public Choice, Springer, vol. 155(3), pages 493-505, June.
    3. Leontine Alkema & Adrian Raftery & Patrick Gerland & Samuel Clark & François Pelletier & Thomas Buettner & Gerhard Heilig, 2011. "Probabilistic Projections of the Total Fertility Rate for All Countries," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 48(3), pages 815-839, August.
    4. Barbara S. Okun, 2013. "Fertility and marriage behavior in Israel," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 28(17), pages 457-504.
    5. Valeria Cetorelli & Tiziana Leone, 2012. "Is fertility stalling in Jordan?," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 26(13), pages 293-318.
    6. Jona Schellekens & A’as Atrash, 2018. "Religiosity and marital fertility among Muslims in Israel," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 39(34), pages 911-926.
    7. Alisa C. Lewin, 2012. "Marriage Patterns Among Palestinians in Israel [Schémas de Nuptialité Chez Les Palestiniens d’Israël]," European Journal of Population, Springer;European Association for Population Studies, vol. 28(3), pages 359-380, August.

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