IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/decfin/v41y2018i2d10.1007_s10203-018-0211-6.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Poverty trap, boom and bust periods and growth. A nonlinear model for non-developed and developing countries

Author

Listed:
  • Francesca Grassetti

    (University of Macerata)

  • Cristiana Mammana

    (University of Macerata)

  • Elisabetta Michetti

    (University of Macerata)

Abstract

This work investigates the qualitative and quantitative dynamics of a Solow–Swan growth model with differential savings as proposed by Böhm and Kaas (J Econ Dyn Control 24:965–980, 2000) assuming the shifted Cobb–Douglas (SCD) production function (see Capasso et al. in Nonlinear Anal. 11:3858–3876, 2010) which makes it possible to consider the long-run dynamics of non-developed and developing countries as well as that of developed economies. The resulting model is described by a nonlinear discontinuous map generating both a poverty trap and complex dynamics. Furthermore, multistability phenomena may emerge: besides the “vicious circle of poverty”, long-run behaviours may include boom and bust periods. Complex basins can emerge, hence, economic policies trying to raise the capital per capita may fail and economies may be captured by the poverty trap.

Suggested Citation

  • Francesca Grassetti & Cristiana Mammana & Elisabetta Michetti, 2018. "Poverty trap, boom and bust periods and growth. A nonlinear model for non-developed and developing countries," Decisions in Economics and Finance, Springer;Associazione per la Matematica, vol. 41(2), pages 145-162, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:decfin:v:41:y:2018:i:2:d:10.1007_s10203-018-0211-6
    DOI: 10.1007/s10203-018-0211-6
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s10203-018-0211-6
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s10203-018-0211-6?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Claude Diebolt & Catherine Kyrtsou, 2005. "New Trends in Macroeconomics," Post-Print hal-00279607, HAL.
    2. Brianzoni, Serena & Mammana, Cristiana & Michetti, Elisabetta, 2009. "Nonlinear dynamics in a business-cycle model with logistic population growth," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 40(2), pages 717-730.
    3. Robert M. Solow, 1956. "A Contribution to the Theory of Economic Growth," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 70(1), pages 65-94.
    4. Tramontana, Fabio & Gardini, Laura & Agliari, Anna, 2011. "Endogenous cycles in discontinuous growth models," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 81(8), pages 1625-1639.
    5. Brianzoni Serena & Mammana Cristiana & Michetti Elisabetta, 2007. "Complex Dynamics in the Neoclassical Growth Model with Differential Savings and Non-Constant Labor Force Growth," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 11(3), pages 1-19, September.
    6. T. W. Swan, 1956. "ECONOMIC GROWTH and CAPITAL ACCUMULATION," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 32(2), pages 334-361, November.
    7. Kaz Miyagiwa & Chris Papageorgiou, 2003. "Elasticity of substitution and growth: normalized CES in the Diamond model," Economic Theory, Springer;Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory (SAET), vol. 21(1), pages 155-165, January.
    8. Thompson, Peter & Taylor, Timothy G, 1995. "The Capital-Energy Substitutability Debate: A New Look," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 77(3), pages 565-569, August.
    9. Fabio Tramontana & Frank Westerhoff & Laura Gardini, 2014. "One-dimensional maps with two discontinuity points and three linear branches: mathematical lessons for understanding the dynamics of financial markets," Decisions in Economics and Finance, Springer;Associazione per la Matematica, vol. 37(1), pages 27-51, April.
    10. Bohm, Volker & Kaas, Leo, 2000. "Differential savings, factor shares, and endogenous growth cycles," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 24(5-7), pages 965-980, June.
    11. Olivier de La Grandville & Rainer Klump, 2000. "Economic Growth and the Elasticity of Substitution: Two Theorems and Some Suggestions," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 90(1), pages 282-291, March.
    12. Sang V Nguyen & Mary L Streitwieser, 1997. "Capital-Energy Substitution Revisted: New Evidence From Micro Data," Working Papers 97-4, Center for Economic Studies, U.S. Census Bureau.
    13. Luigi L. Pasinetti, 1962. "Rate of Profit and Income Distribution in Relation to the Rate of Economic Growth," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 29(4), pages 267-279.
    14. Tramontana, Fabio & Westerhoff, Frank & Gardini, Laura, 2015. "A simple financial market model with chartists and fundamentalists: Market entry levels and discontinuities," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 108(C), pages 16-40.
    15. Claude Diebolt & Catherine Kyrtsou (ed.), 2005. "New Trends in Macroeconomics," Springer Books, Springer, number 978-3-540-28556-4, November.
    16. Serena Brianzoni & Cristiana Mammana & Elisabetta Michetti, 2012. "Local and Global Dynamics in a Discrete Time Growth Model with Nonconcave Production Function," Working Papers 70-2012, Macerata University, Department of Finance and Economic Sciences, revised Sep 2015.
    17. Winford H. Masanjala & Chris Papageorgiou, 2004. "The Solow model with CES technology: nonlinearities and parameter heterogeneity," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 19(2), pages 171-201.
    18. Bertram Schefold, 2005. "Zero Wages—No Problem? A Reply To Mandler," Metroeconomica, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 56(4), pages 503-513, November.
    19. Chris Papageorgiou & Marianne Saam, 2008. "Two‐level CES Production Technology in the Solow and Diamond Growth Models," Scandinavian Journal of Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 110(1), pages 119-143, March.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Sanchez-Carrera Edgar J. & Travaglini Giuseppe & Ille Sebastian, 2021. "Macrodynamic Modeling of Innovation Equilibria and Traps," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 21(2), pages 659-694, June.
    2. Mikhail Anufriev & Davide Radi & Fabio Tramontana, 2018. "Some reflections on past and future of nonlinear dynamics in economics and finance," Decisions in Economics and Finance, Springer;Associazione per la Matematica, vol. 41(2), pages 91-118, November.
    3. Donatella Saccone & Matteo Migheli, 2022. "Free to escape? Economic freedoms, growth and poverty traps," Review of Development Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 26(3), pages 1518-1554, August.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Brianzoni, Serena & Mammana, Cristiana & Michetti, Elisabetta, 2012. "Variable elasticity of substituition in a discrete time Solow–Swan growth model with differential saving," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 45(1), pages 98-108.
    2. Grassetti, Francesca & Mammana, Cristiana & Michetti, Elisabetta, 2018. "Substitutability between production factors and growth. An analysis using VES production functions," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 113(C), pages 53-62.
    3. Serena Brianzoni & Cristiana Mammana & Elisabetta Michetti, 2012. "Local and Global Dynamics in a Discrete Time Growth Model with Nonconcave Production Function," Working Papers 70-2012, Macerata University, Department of Finance and Economic Sciences, revised Sep 2015.
    4. Agliari, Anna & Böhm, Volker & Pecora, Nicolò, 2020. "Endogenous cycles from income diversity, capital ownership, and differential savings," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 130(C).
    5. Litina, Anastasia & Palivos, Theodore, 2010. "The Behavior Of The Saving Rate In The Neoclassical Optimal Growth Model," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 14(4), pages 482-500, September.
    6. Kemnitz, Alexander & Knoblach, Michael, 2020. "Endogenous sigma-augmenting technological change: An R&D-based approach," CEPIE Working Papers 02/20, Technische Universität Dresden, Center of Public and International Economics (CEPIE).
    7. Michetti, Elisabetta, 2015. "Complex attractors and basins in a growth model with nonconcave production function and logistic population growth rate," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 108(C), pages 215-232.
    8. David Cheban & Cristiana Mammana & Elisabetta Michetti, 2012. "Non-Autonomous Difference Equations: Global Attractor in a Business-Cycle Model with Endogenous Population Growth," Working Papers 69-2012, Macerata University, Department of Finance and Economic Sciences, revised Sep 2015.
    9. Xue, Jianpo & Yip, Chong K., 2013. "Aggregate elasticity of substitution and economic growth: A synthesis," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 38(PA), pages 60-75.
    10. Serena Brianzoni, & Cristiana Mammana, & Elisabetta Michetti,, 2006. "Global attractor in Solow growth model with differential savings and endogenic labor force growth," Working Papers 35-2006, Macerata University, Department of Finance and Economic Sciences, revised Oct 2008.
    11. Brianzoni, Serena & Mammana, Cristiana & Michetti, Elisabetta, 2009. "Nonlinear dynamics in a business-cycle model with logistic population growth," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 40(2), pages 717-730.
    12. Tramontana, Fabio & Sushko, Iryna & Avrutin, Viktor, 2015. "Period adding structure in a 2D discontinuous model of economic growth," Applied Mathematics and Computation, Elsevier, vol. 253(C), pages 262-273.
    13. Rainer Klump & Peter McAdam & Alpo Willman, 2012. "The Normalized Ces Production Function: Theory And Empirics," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 26(5), pages 769-799, December.
    14. Hideki Nakamura, 2010. "Factor Substitution, Mechanization, And Economic Growth," The Japanese Economic Review, Japanese Economic Association, vol. 61(2), pages 266-281, June.
    15. Irmen, Andreas, 2011. "Steady-state growth and the elasticity of substitution," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 35(8), pages 1215-1228, August.
    16. Manuel A. Gómez, 2020. "Factor substitution, long‐run growth, and speed of convergence in the one‐sector convex endogenous‐growth model," Metroeconomica, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 71(1), pages 2-21, February.
    17. Tramontana, Fabio & Gardini, Laura & Agliari, Anna, 2011. "Endogenous cycles in discontinuous growth models," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 81(8), pages 1625-1639.
    18. Growiec, Jakub & Mućk, Jakub, 2020. "Isoelastic Elasticity Of Substitution Production Functions," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 24(7), pages 1597-1634, October.
    19. Mallick, Debdulal, 2012. "The role of the elasticity of substitution in economic growth: A cross-country investigation," Labour Economics, Elsevier, vol. 19(5), pages 682-694.
    20. Miyagiwa, Kaz & Papageorgiou, Chris, 2007. "Endogenous aggregate elasticity of substitution," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 31(9), pages 2899-2919, September.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Solow model; Poverty trap; Growth dynamics; Multistability; Discontinuous map;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C61 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Optimization Techniques; Programming Models; Dynamic Analysis
    • C62 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Existence and Stability Conditions of Equilibrium
    • E2 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment
    • O1 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development
    • O4 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:decfin:v:41:y:2018:i:2:d:10.1007_s10203-018-0211-6. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.