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Selecting hidden Markov model state number with cross-validated likelihood

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  • Gilles Celeux
  • Jean-Baptiste Durand

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  • Gilles Celeux & Jean-Baptiste Durand, 2008. "Selecting hidden Markov model state number with cross-validated likelihood," Computational Statistics, Springer, vol. 23(4), pages 541-564, October.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:compst:v:23:y:2008:i:4:p:541-564
    DOI: 10.1007/s00180-007-0097-1
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Robert, Christian P. & Celeux, Gilles & Diebolt, Jean, 1993. "Bayesian estimation of hidden Markov chains: a stochastic implementation," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 16(1), pages 77-83, January.
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    Cited by:

    1. Roland Langrock & Thomas Kneib & Alexander Sohn & Stacy L. DeRuiter, 2015. "Nonparametric inference in hidden Markov models using P-splines," Biometrics, The International Biometric Society, vol. 71(2), pages 520-528, June.
    2. Joanna Janczura & Rafal Weron, 2012. "Inference for Markov-regime switching models of electricity spot prices," HSC Research Reports HSC/12/01, Hugo Steinhaus Center, Wroclaw University of Technology.
    3. Joanna Janczura & Rafał Weron, 2013. "Goodness-of-fit testing for the marginal distribution of regime-switching models with an application to electricity spot prices," AStA Advances in Statistical Analysis, Springer;German Statistical Society, vol. 97(3), pages 239-270, July.
    4. Janczura, Joanna & Weron, Rafal, 2010. "Goodness-of-fit testing for regime-switching models," MPRA Paper 22871, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. Henryk Gurgul & Robert Syrek & Christoph Mitterer, 2016. "Price duration versus trading volume in high-frequency data for selected DAX companies," Managerial Economics, AGH University of Science and Technology, Faculty of Management, vol. 17(2), pages 241-260.
    6. Francesco Bartolucci & Alessio Farcomeni, 2010. "A note on the mixture transition distribution and hidden Markov models," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 31(2), pages 132-138, March.
    7. Simon DeDeo, 2016. "Conflict and Computation on Wikipedia: A Finite-State Machine Analysis of Editor Interactions," Future Internet, MDPI, vol. 8(3), pages 1-23, July.
    8. Jennifer Pohle & Roland Langrock & Floris M. Beest & Niels Martin Schmidt, 2017. "Selecting the Number of States in Hidden Markov Models: Pragmatic Solutions Illustrated Using Animal Movement," Journal of Agricultural, Biological and Environmental Statistics, Springer;The International Biometric Society;American Statistical Association, vol. 22(3), pages 270-293, September.
    9. Liu, Hefei & Song, Xinyuan, 2021. "Bayesian analysis of hidden Markov structural equation models with an unknown number of hidden states," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 18(C), pages 29-43.
    10. Schücking, Maximilian & Jochem, Patrick, 2021. "Two-stage stochastic program optimizing the cost of electric vehicles in commercial fleets," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 293(C).
    11. Colombi, R. & Giordano, S., 2015. "Multiple hidden Markov models for categorical time series," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 140(C), pages 19-30.
    12. Sina Mews & Marius Ötting, 2023. "Continuous-time state-space modelling of the hot hand in basketball," AStA Advances in Statistical Analysis, Springer;German Statistical Society, vol. 107(1), pages 313-326, March.
    13. Bérard Caroline & Martin-Magniette Marie-Laure & Brunaud Véronique & Aubourg Sébastien & Robin Stéphane, 2011. "Unsupervised Classification for Tiling Arrays: ChIP-chip and Transcriptome," Statistical Applications in Genetics and Molecular Biology, De Gruyter, vol. 10(1), pages 1-22, November.
    14. S. Bacci & S. Pandolfi & F. Pennoni, 2014. "A comparison of some criteria for states selection in the latent Markov model for longitudinal data," Advances in Data Analysis and Classification, Springer;German Classification Society - Gesellschaft für Klassifikation (GfKl);Japanese Classification Society (JCS);Classification and Data Analysis Group of the Italian Statistical Society (CLADAG);International Federation of Classification Societies (IFCS), vol. 8(2), pages 125-145, June.
    15. Wang, Ting & Bebbington, Mark, 2013. "Identifying anomalous signals in GPS data using HMMs: An increased likelihood of earthquakes?," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 27-44.
    16. Ali Al-Aradi & Sebastian Jaimungal, 2019. "Active and Passive Portfolio Management with Latent Factors," Papers 1903.06928, arXiv.org.
    17. Adam, Timo & Mayr, Andreas & Kneib, Thomas, 2022. "Gradient boosting in Markov-switching generalized additive models for location, scale, and shape," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 22(C), pages 3-16.
    18. Paul David Harris & Alessandra Narducci & Christian Gebhardt & Thorben Cordes & Shimon Weiss & Eitan Lerner, 2022. "Multi-parameter photon-by-photon hidden Markov modeling," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-12, December.

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