IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/comgts/v14y2017i3d10.1007_s10287-017-0277-6.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Pricing catastrophe bonds with multistage stochastic programming

Author

Listed:
  • Nick Georgiopoulos

    (Bermuda Monetary Authority (BMA))

Abstract

In this paper we present a method of pricing catastrophe bonds (cat bonds) using stochastic programming. Stochastic programming is a method ubiquitous in operations research when decision problems involve uncertainty. We demonstrate the method for pricing cat bonds which bypasses the need to define the equivalent martingale measure or estimate the market price of risk. The price of the cat bond is simply the coupon that needs to be paid that attains a specified return on investment given a set of constraints that define the payoffs.

Suggested Citation

  • Nick Georgiopoulos, 2017. "Pricing catastrophe bonds with multistage stochastic programming," Computational Management Science, Springer, vol. 14(3), pages 297-312, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:comgts:v:14:y:2017:i:3:d:10.1007_s10287-017-0277-6
    DOI: 10.1007/s10287-017-0277-6
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s10287-017-0277-6
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s10287-017-0277-6?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Geman, Helyette & Yor, Marc, 1997. "Stochastic time changes in catastrophe option pricing," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 21(3), pages 185-193, December.
    2. Knut Aase, 1999. "An Equilibrium Model of Catastrophe Insurance Futures and Spreads," The Geneva Risk and Insurance Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Association for the Study of Insurance Economics (The Geneva Association), vol. 24(1), pages 69-96, June.
    3. Martin Branda, 2014. "Optimization Approaches to Multiplicative Tariff of Rates Estimation in Non-Life Insurance," Asia-Pacific Journal of Operational Research (APJOR), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 31(05), pages 1-17.
    4. Dickson,David C. M., 2010. "Insurance Risk and Ruin," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521176750.
    5. Dassios, Angelos & Jang, Jiwook, 2003. "Pricing of catastrophe reinsurance and derivatives using the Cox process with shot noise intensity," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 2849, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Sukono & Hafizan Juahir & Riza Andrian Ibrahim & Moch Panji Agung Saputra & Yuyun Hidayat & Igif Gimin Prihanto, 2022. "Application of Compound Poisson Process in Pricing Catastrophe Bonds: A Systematic Literature Review," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(15), pages 1-19, July.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Eckhard Platen & David Taylor, 2016. "Loading Pricing of Catastrophe Bonds and Other Long-Dated, Insurance-Type Contracts," Papers 1610.09875, arXiv.org.
    2. Braun, Alexander, 2011. "Pricing catastrophe swaps: A contingent claims approach," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 49(3), pages 520-536.
    3. Pérez-Fructuoso, María José, 2017. "Tarificación de bonos sobre catástrofes (cat bonds) con desencadenantes de índices de pérdidas. Modelación mediante un proceso de Ornstein-Uhlenbeck || Pricing Loss Index Triggered Cat Bonds. An Ornst," Revista de Métodos Cuantitativos para la Economía y la Empresa = Journal of Quantitative Methods for Economics and Business Administration, Universidad Pablo de Olavide, Department of Quantitative Methods for Economics and Business Administration, vol. 24(1), pages 340-361, Diciembre.
    4. Mathieu Gatumel & Dominique Guegan, 2008. "Towards an understanding approach of the insurance linked securities market," Post-Print halshs-00235354, HAL.
    5. Ben Ammar, Semir & Braun, Alexander & Eling, Martin, 2015. "Alternative Risk Transfer and Insurance-Linked Securities: Trends, Challenges and New Market Opportunities," I.VW HSG Schriftenreihe, University of St.Gallen, Institute of Insurance Economics (I.VW-HSG), volume 56, number 56.
    6. Chang, Carolyn W. & Chang, Jack S.K. & Lu, WeiLi, 2008. "Pricing catastrophe options in discrete operational time," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 43(3), pages 422-430, December.
    7. Chang, Carolyn W. & Chang, Jack S.K. & Lu, WeLi, 2010. "Pricing catastrophe options with stochastic claim arrival intensity in claim time," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 34(1), pages 24-32, January.
    8. Andreas Eichler & Gunther Leobacher & Michaela Szolgyenyi, 2016. "Utility Indifference Pricing of Insurance Catastrophe Derivatives," Papers 1607.01110, arXiv.org, revised May 2017.
    9. Perrakis, Stylianos & Boloorforoosh, Ali, 2013. "Valuing catastrophe derivatives under limited diversification: A stochastic dominance approach," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(8), pages 3157-3168.
    10. Truong, Chi & Trück, Stefan, 2016. "It’s not now or never: Implications of investment timing and risk aversion on climate adaptation to extreme events," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 253(3), pages 856-868.
    11. de Lange, Petter E. & Fleten, Stein-Erik & Gaivoronski, Alexei A., 2004. "Modeling financial reinsurance in the casualty insurance business via stochastic programming," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 28(5), pages 991-1012, February.
    12. Egami, Masahiko & Young, Virginia R., 2008. "Indifference prices of structured catastrophe (CAT) bonds," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 42(2), pages 771-778, April.
    13. Barsotti, Flavia & Milhaud, Xavier & Salhi, Yahia, 2016. "Lapse risk in life insurance: Correlation and contagion effects among policyholders’ behaviors," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 317-331.
    14. Neofytos Rodosthenous & Hongzhong Zhang, 2020. "When to sell an asset amid anxiety about drawdowns," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 30(4), pages 1422-1460, October.
    15. Boonen, Tim J., 2019. "Equilibrium recoveries in insurance markets with limited liability," Journal of Mathematical Economics, Elsevier, vol. 85(C), pages 38-45.
    16. Dassios, Angelos & Jang, Jiwook & Zhao, Hongbiao, 2015. "A risk model with renewal shot-noise Cox process," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 65(C), pages 55-65.
    17. Noba, Kei, 2021. "On the optimality of double barrier strategies for Lévy processes," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 131(C), pages 73-102.
    18. Yonit Barron & David Perry & Wolfgang Stadje, 2016. "A make-to-stock production/inventory model with MAP arrivals and phase-type demands," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 241(1), pages 373-409, June.
    19. Liu, Wenyue & Cadenillas, Abel, 2023. "Optimal insurance contracts for a shot-noise Cox claim process and persistent insured's actions," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 109(C), pages 69-93.
    20. Blanchet-Scalliet, Christophette & El Karoui, Nicole & Martellini, Lionel, 2005. "Dynamic asset pricing theory with uncertain time-horizon," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 29(10), pages 1737-1764, October.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:comgts:v:14:y:2017:i:3:d:10.1007_s10287-017-0277-6. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.