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Dynamic portfolio insurance strategies: risk management under Johnson distributions

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  • Naceur Naguez

    (University of Cergy-Pontoise)

Abstract

The purpose of this paper is to analyze the gap risk of dynamic portfolio insurance strategies which generalize the “Constant Proportion Portfolio Insurance” (CPPI) method by allowing the multiple to vary. We illustrate our theoretical results for conditional CPPI strategies indexed on hedge funds. For this purpose, we provide accurate estimations of hedge funds returns by means of Johnson distributions. We introduce also an EGARCH type model with Johnson innovations to describe dynamics of risky logreturns. We use both VaR and Expected Shortfall as downside risk measures to control gap risk. We provide accurate upper bounds on the multiple in order to limit this gap risk. We illustrate our theoretical results on Credit Suisse Hedge Fund Index. The time period of the analysis lies between December 1994 and December 2013.

Suggested Citation

  • Naceur Naguez, 2018. "Dynamic portfolio insurance strategies: risk management under Johnson distributions," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 262(2), pages 605-629, March.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:annopr:v:262:y:2018:i:2:d:10.1007_s10479-016-2121-8
    DOI: 10.1007/s10479-016-2121-8
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Franklin R. Edwards & Mustafa Onur Caglayan, 2001. "Hedge Fund Performance and Manager Skill," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 21(11), pages 1003-1028, November.
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    4. Benjamin Hamidi & Emmanuel Jurczenko & Bertrand Maillet, 2009. "D'un multiple conditionnel en assurance de portefeuille : CAViaR pour les gestionnaires ?," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) halshs-00389773, HAL.
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    8. N. Naguez & J. L. Prigent, 2017. "Optimal portfolio positioning within generalized Johnson distributions," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(7), pages 1037-1055, July.
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    Cited by:

    1. Sung Ik Kim, 2022. "ARMA–GARCH model with fractional generalized hyperbolic innovations," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 8(1), pages 1-25, December.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Portfolio insurance; CPPI; Hedge funds; Johnson distribution; Gap risk; VaR; CVaR;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C6 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling
    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • G24 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Investment Banking; Venture Capital; Brokerage
    • L10 - Industrial Organization - - Market Structure, Firm Strategy, and Market Performance - - - General

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