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Risk management strategies for finding universal portfolios

Author

Listed:
  • Esther Mohr

    (University of Mannheim)

  • Robert Dochow

    (Saarland University)

Abstract

We consider Cover’s universal portfolio and the problem of risk management in a distribution-free setting when learning from experts. We aim to find optimal portfolios without modelling the financial market at the outset. Although it exists, the price distribution of the constituent assets is neither known nor given as part of the input. We consider the portfolio selection problem from the perspective of online algorithms that process input piece-by-piece in a serial fashion. Under the minimax regret criterion, we propose two risk-adjusted algorithms that track the expert with the lowest maximum drawdown. We obtain upper bounds on the worst-case performance of our algorithms that equal the bounds obtained by Cover (Math Finance 1(1):1–29, 1991). We also present computational evidence using NYSE data over a 22-year period, which shows superior performance of investment strategies that take risk management into account.

Suggested Citation

  • Esther Mohr & Robert Dochow, 2017. "Risk management strategies for finding universal portfolios," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 256(1), pages 129-147, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:annopr:v:256:y:2017:i:1:d:10.1007_s10479-016-2176-6
    DOI: 10.1007/s10479-016-2176-6
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    References listed on IDEAS

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