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Macroprudential Policy Effectiveness: Lessons from Southeastern Europe

Author

Listed:
  • Jérôme Vandenbussche

    (International Monetary Fund)

  • Piyabha Kongsamut

    (International Monetary Fund)

  • Dilyana Dimova

    (International Monetary Fund)

Abstract

This paper presents a detailed account of the rich set of macroprudential measures (MPPs) implemented in Bulgaria, Croatia, Romania, and Serbia during their synchronized boom and bust cycles in 2002–12, and assesses their effectiveness in managing credit growth. Only strong MPPs helped contain domestic credit growth during the boom years, but circumvention via direct external borrowing offset their effectiveness to a large extent. MPPs taken during the bust had no discernible impact. The paper concludes that (i) proper calibration of MPPs is of the essence; (ii) only strong, broad-based MPPs can contain credit booms; (iii) econometric studies of macroprudential policy effectiveness should focus on concrete policy measures rather than on instruments use; and (iv) in so doing should allow for possible non-linear and state-contingent effects.

Suggested Citation

  • Jérôme Vandenbussche & Piyabha Kongsamut & Dilyana Dimova, 2018. "Macroprudential Policy Effectiveness: Lessons from Southeastern Europe," Journal of Banking and Financial Economics, University of Warsaw, Faculty of Management, vol. 1(9), pages 60-102, May.
  • Handle: RePEc:sgm:jbfeuw:v:1:y:2018:i:9:p:60-102
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Xing Zhang & Fengchao Li & Zhen Li & Yingying Xu, 2018. "Macroprudential Policy, Credit Cycle, and Bank Risk-Taking," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(10), pages 1-18, October.
    2. Cristina-Georgiana Zeldea & Mihai Nițoi, 2021. "Macroprudential tools, credit growth and financial stability: Lessons from Central and Eastern European countries," Journal of Financial Studies, Institute of Financial Studies, vol. 11(6), pages 156-178, December.
    3. Markus Eller & Reiner Martin & Helene Schuberth & Lukas Vashold, 2020. "Macroprudential policies in CESEE – an intensity-adjusted approach," Focus on European Economic Integration, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank), issue Q2/20, pages 65-81.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Macroprudential Policies; Financial Stability; Credit Growth; Southeastern Europe;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G18 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Government Policy and Regulation
    • G28 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Government Policy and Regulation

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