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Исследование Причин Отзыва Лицензий У Российских Коммерческих Банков В Посткризисный Период (2010-2011)

Author

Listed:
  • Емельянов А.М.
  • Брюхова О.О.

Abstract

В статье рассматриваются факторы, определяющие вероятность отзыва лицензий российских коммерческих банков в посткризисный период с 1 января 2010 г. по 31 декабря 2011 г. Прогнозирование финансовой устойчивости осуществляется с использованием логистической модели бинарного выбора, построенной на основе ежемесячной бухгалтерской отчетности, взятой за пять месяцев до наблюдения статуса банка. В работе также рассматривается вопрос о влиянии несбалансированности исходных данных на качество модели.

Suggested Citation

  • Емельянов А.М. & Брюхова О.О., 2015. "Исследование Причин Отзыва Лицензий У Российских Коммерческих Банков В Посткризисный Период (2010-2011)," Журнал Экономика и математические методы (ЭММ), Центральный Экономико-Математический Институт (ЦЭМИ), vol. 51(3), pages 41-53, июль.
    • Handle: RePEc:scn:cememm:v:51:y:2015:i:3:p:41-53
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Пересецкий А.А., 2007. "Методы Оценки Вероятности Дефолта Банков," Журнал Экономика и математические методы (ЭММ), Центральный Экономико-Математический Институт (ЦЭМИ), vol. 43(3), июль.
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    3. Peresetsky, Anatoly, 2013. "Modeling reasons for Russian bank license withdrawal: Unaccounted factors," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 30(2), pages 49-64.
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