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Foresight in civil shipbuilding — 2030

Author

Listed:
  • Yuri Dekhtyaruk

    (Krylov State Research Centre. Address: 44 Moscow highway, 196158, St. Petersburg, Russian Federation)

  • Igor Karyshev

    (Krylov State Research Centre. Address: 44 Moscow highway, 196158, St. Petersburg, Russian Federation)

  • Maria Korableva

    (Krylov State Research Centre. Address: 44 Moscow highway, 196158, St. Petersburg, Russian Federation)

  • Natalia Velikanova

    (National Research University — Higher School of Economics, Institute for Statistical Studies and Economics of Knowledge. Address: National Research University — Higher School of Economics, 20 Myasnitskaya str., Moscow, 101000, Russian Federation)

  • Anastasia Edelkina

    (National Research University — Higher School of Economics, Institute for Statistical Studies and Economics of Knowledge. Address: National Research University — Higher School of Economics, 20 Myasnitskaya str., Moscow, 101000, Russian Federation)

  • Oleg Karasev

    (National Research University — Higher School of Economics, Institute for Statistical Studies and Economics of Knowledge. Address: National Research University — Higher School of Economics, 20 Myasnitskaya str., Moscow, 101000, Russian Federation)

  • Marina Klubova

    (National Research University — Higher School of Economics, Institute for Statistical Studies and Economics of Knowledge. Address: National Research University — Higher School of Economics, 20 Myasnitskaya str., Moscow, 101000, Russian Federation)

  • Anna Bogomolova

    (Moscow State University. Address: 1, Building 46, Lenskiye Gory, GSP-1, Moscow, 119991, Russian Federation)

  • Natalia Dyshkant

    (Moscow State University. Address: 1, Building 46, Lenskiye Gory, GSP-1, Moscow, 119991, Russian Federation)

Abstract

Foresight studies of future markets and technologies enable various scenarios for the shipbuilding industry to be identified. Innovative scenarios assume a shift from mass production to small-scale or even single-unit niche production under diversified demand. This should be accompanied by active promotion of competition not only in shipbuilding but in related industries too. Comparative analysis of scenarios shows that active government policies to support the production of high-technology vessels will generate multiplier effects and strengthen the competitiveness of the Russian economy.

Suggested Citation

  • Yuri Dekhtyaruk & Igor Karyshev & Maria Korableva & Natalia Velikanova & Anastasia Edelkina & Oleg Karasev & Marina Klubova & Anna Bogomolova & Natalia Dyshkant, 2014. "Foresight in civil shipbuilding — 2030," Foresight-Russia Форсайт, CyberLeninka;Федеральное государственное автономное образовательное учреждение высшего образования «Национальный исследовательский университет «Высшая школа экономики», vol. 8(2 (eng)), pages 30-45.
    • Handle: RePEc:scn:013126:15723356
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Cagnin, Cristiano & Havas, Attila & Saritas, Ozcan, 2013. "Future-oriented technology analysis: Its potential to address disruptive transformations," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 80(3), pages 379-385.
    2. Dirk Meissner & Alexander Sokolov, 2013. "Foresight and science, technology and innovation indicators," Chapters, in: Fred Gault (ed.), Handbook of Innovation Indicators and Measurement, chapter 16, pages 381-402, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    3. Dirk Meissner & Leonid Gokhberg & Alexander Sokolov (ed.), 2013. "Science, Technology and Innovation Policy for the Future," Springer Books, Springer, edition 127, number 978-3-642-31827-6, November.
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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • O32 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Innovation; Research and Development; Technological Change; Intellectual Property Rights - - - Management of Technological Innovation and R&D
    • O34 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Innovation; Research and Development; Technological Change; Intellectual Property Rights - - - Intellectual Property and Intellectual Capital

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