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Секреты И Перспективы Промышленной Политики Узбекистана // What Can Uzbekistan Tell Us About Industrial Policy That We Did Not Already Know

Author

Listed:
  • V. Popov

    (Institute of European and Russian Studies at Carleton University)

  • В. Попов

    (Институт исследований Европы, России и Евразии Карлтонского университета)

Abstract

This paper discusses Uzbekistan’s recent experience with structural shifts and industrial policy and the larger implications for existing theories of industrial policy. The paper has a particular focus on various industry policy instruments. Two major hypotheses are discussed: (1) the hypothesis of Haussmann, Hwang and Rodrik (the more technologically sophisticated the export structure, the better for growth) and (2) the hypothesis of Justin Yifu Lin (export specialization should build on existing comparative advantages and not jump over the necessary technological stages). В статье обсуждается опыт Узбекистана в области структурных преобразований и промышленной политики, а также важные последствия для существующих теорий промышленной политики. Проверены две основные гипотезы: гипотеза Хауссмана, Хванга и Родрика (чем более технологически диверсифицирована структура экспорта, тем лучшеэкономический рост) и гипотеза Джастина Ыифу Лин (экспортная специализация должна строиться на существующих сравнительных преимуществах и не перешагивать через необходимые технологические стадии). Узбекистан, создавший автомобильную промышленность с нуля, сегодня производит более 200 тыс. автомобилей в год, половина из которых экспортируется.Это, несомненно, успех промышленной политики. Вместе с тем ставка на развитие тяжелой химии может привести к замедлению экономического роста страны.

Suggested Citation

  • V. Popov & В. Попов, 2016. "Секреты И Перспективы Промышленной Политики Узбекистана // What Can Uzbekistan Tell Us About Industrial Policy That We Did Not Already Know," Review of Business and Economics Studies // Review of Business and Economics Studies, Финансовый Университет // Financial University, vol. 4(1), pages 5-25.
    • Handle: RePEc:scn:00rbes:y:2016:i:1:p:5-25
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    References listed on IDEAS

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