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Behavioral Issues of Rationality in International Interaction

Author

Listed:
  • Catherine C. Langlois

    (McDonough School of Business, Georgetown University)

  • Jean-Pierre P. Langlois

    (Department of Mathematics, San Francisco State University)

Abstract

This study argues for a behavioral interpretation of rational choice in a changing environment that potentially restores the equilibria of discounted repeated games as useful descriptors of long-term bilateral relations between nation-states. The analysis reveals that all subgame perfect equilibrium strategies fall into one of three classes: countervailing, strongly inducive, or weakly inducive. Only strongly inducive strategies require knowledge of the opponent's exact strategy choice to achieve equilibrium. At the other extreme, countervailing strategies require only the expectation of some form of countervailing behavior from the opponent to become a rational choice. The intermediate weakly inducive strategies allow each side to choose some bound of tolerance for the opponent's actual behavior, permitting a range of countervailing behaviors within these bounds. The formal analysis provides constructive access to interesting subgame perfect equilibria of discounted repeated games and is suggestive of the observable and empirically testable consequences of rational behavior.

Suggested Citation

  • Catherine C. Langlois & Jean-Pierre P. Langlois, 1999. "Behavioral Issues of Rationality in International Interaction," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 43(5), pages 626-645, October.
  • Handle: RePEc:sae:jocore:v:43:y:1999:i:5:p:626-645
    DOI: 10.1177/0022002799043005005
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    3. Drew Fudenberg & Eric Maskin, 2008. "The Folk Theorem In Repeated Games With Discounting Or With Incomplete Information," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Drew Fudenberg & David K Levine (ed.), A Long-Run Collaboration On Long-Run Games, chapter 11, pages 209-230, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    4. Walter Isard & Charles H. Anderton, 1985. "Arms Race Models: A Survey and Synthesis," Conflict Management and Peace Science, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 8(2), pages 27-98, February.
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