IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/sae/envirb/v49y2022i6p1646-1662.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

The private rental housing market before and during the COVID-19 pandemic: A submarket analysis in Cracow, Poland

Author

Listed:
  • Mateusz Tomal
  • Marco Helbich

Abstract

How the COVID-19 pandemic has altered the segmentation of residential rental markets is largely unknown. We therefore assessed rental housing submarkets before and during the pandemic in Cracow, Poland. We used geographically and temporally weighted regression to investigate the marginal prices of housing attributes over space–time. The marginal prices were further reduced to a few principal components per time period and spatially clustered to identify housing submarkets. Finally, we applied the adjusted Rand index to evaluate the spatiotemporal stability of the housing submarkets. The results revealed that the pandemic outbreak significantly lowered rents and modified the relevance of some housing characteristics for rental prices. Proximity to the university was no longer among the residential amenities during the pandemic. Similarly, the virus outbreak diminished the effect of a housing unit’s proximity to the city center. The market partitioning showed that the number of Cracow’s residential rental submarkets increased significantly as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic, as it enhanced the spatial variation in the marginal prices of covariates. Our findings suggest that the emergence of the coronavirus reshaped the residential rental market in three ways: Rents were decreased, the underlying rental price-determining factors changed, and the spatiotemporal submarket structure was altered.

Suggested Citation

  • Mateusz Tomal & Marco Helbich, 2022. "The private rental housing market before and during the COVID-19 pandemic: A submarket analysis in Cracow, Poland," Environment and Planning B, , vol. 49(6), pages 1646-1662, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:envirb:v:49:y:2022:i:6:p:1646-1662
    DOI: 10.1177/23998083211062907
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/23998083211062907
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1177/23998083211062907?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Lawrence Hubert & Phipps Arabie, 1985. "Comparing partitions," Journal of Classification, Springer;The Classification Society, vol. 2(1), pages 193-218, December.
    2. Yang Xiao & Chris Webster & Scott Orford, 2016. "Can street segments indexed for accessibility form the basis for housing submarket delineation?," Housing Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 31(7), pages 829-851, October.
    3. Qian, Xianhang & Qiu, Shanyun & Zhang, Guangli, 2021. "The impact of COVID-19 on housing price: Evidence from China," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 43(C).
    4. Mateusz Tomal, 2021. "Housing market heterogeneity and cluster formation: evidence from Poland," International Journal of Housing Markets and Analysis, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 14(5), pages 1166-1185, March.
    5. Gang-Zhi Fan & Seow Eng Ong & Hian Chye Koh, 2006. "Determinants of House Price: A Decision Tree Approach," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 43(12), pages 2301-2315, November.
    6. Kopczewska, Katarzyna & Ćwiakowski, Piotr, 2021. "Spatio-temporal stability of housing submarkets. Tracking spatial location of clusters of geographically weighted regression estimates of price determinants," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 103(C).
    7. Bingbing Wang, 2021. "How Does COVID-19 Affect House Prices? A Cross-City Analysis," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(2), pages 1-15, January.
    8. Ka Shing Cheung & Chung Yim Yiu & Chuyi Xiong, 2021. "Housing Market in the Time of Pandemic: A Price Gradient Analysis from the COVID-19 Epicentre in China," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(3), pages 1-17, March.
    9. Michal Rubaszek & Margarita Rubio, 2020. "Does the rental housing market stabilize the economy? A micro and macro perspective," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 59(1), pages 233-257, July.
    10. Nana Cui & Hengyu Gu & Tiyan Shen & Changchun Feng, 2018. "The Impact of Micro-Level Influencing Factors on Home Value: A Housing Price-Rent Comparison," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(12), pages 1-23, November.
    11. Mustapha Bangura & Chyi Lin Lee, 2020. "House price diffusion of housing submarkets in Greater Sydney," Housing Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 35(6), pages 1110-1141, July.
    12. Zambrano-Monserrate, Manuel A. & Ruano, María Alejandra, 2019. "Does environmental noise affect housing rental prices in developing countries? Evidence from Ecuador," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 87(C).
    13. Or Levkovich & Jan Rouwendal & Lars Brugman, 2018. "Spatial Planning and Segmentation of the Land Market: The Case of the Netherlands," Land Economics, University of Wisconsin Press, vol. 94(1), pages 137-154.
    14. Bourassa, Steven C. & Hamelink, Foort & Hoesli, Martin & MacGregor, Bryan D., 1999. "Defining Housing Submarkets," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 8(2), pages 160-183, June.
    15. Vincenzo Del Giudice & Pierfrancesco De Paola & Francesco Paolo Del Giudice, 2020. "COVID-19 Infects Real Estate Markets: Short and Mid-Run Effects on Housing Prices in Campania Region (Italy)," Social Sciences, MDPI, vol. 9(7), pages 1-18, July.
    16. Dragana Djurdjevic & Christine Eugster & Ronny Haase, 2008. "Estimation of Hedonic Models Using a Multilevel Approach: An Application for the Swiss Rental Market," Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics (SJES), Swiss Society of Economics and Statistics (SSES), vol. 144(IV), pages 679-701, December.
    17. Allen C. Goodman & Thomas G. Thibodeau, 2007. "The Spatial Proximity of Metropolitan Area Housing Submarkets," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 35(2), pages 209-232, June.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Xinba Li & Chuanrong Zhang, 2021. "Did the COVID-19 Pandemic Crisis Affect Housing Prices Evenly in the U.S.?," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(21), pages 1-28, November.
    2. Xinba Li & Chihwa Kao, 2022. "Spatial Analysis and Modeling of the Housing Value Changes in the U.S. during the COVID-19 Pandemic," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 15(3), pages 1-25, March.
    3. Kopczewska, Katarzyna & Ćwiakowski, Piotr, 2021. "Spatio-temporal stability of housing submarkets. Tracking spatial location of clusters of geographically weighted regression estimates of price determinants," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 103(C).
    4. Ka Shing Cheung & Chung Yim Yiu & Chuyi Xiong, 2021. "Housing Market in the Time of Pandemic: A Price Gradient Analysis from the COVID-19 Epicentre in China," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(3), pages 1-17, March.
    5. Arturas Kaklauskas & Edmundas Kazimieras Zavadskas & Natalija Lepkova & Saulius Raslanas & Kestutis Dauksys & Ingrida Vetloviene & Ieva Ubarte, 2021. "Sustainable Construction Investment, Real Estate Development, and COVID-19: A Review of Literature in the Field," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(13), pages 1-42, July.
    6. Coën, Alain & Pourcelot, Alexis & Malle, Richard, 2022. "Macroeconomic shocks and ripple effects in the Greater Paris Metropolis," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 56(C).
    7. Shian Zeng & Chengdong Yi, 2022. "Impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the housing market at the epicenter of the outbreak in China," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 2(6), pages 1-20, June.
    8. Wang, Jianing & Lee, Chyi Lin, 2022. "The value of air quality in housing markets: A comparative study of housing sale and rental markets in China," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 160(C).
    9. Gao, Qishuo & Shi, Vivien & Pettit, Christopher & Han, Hoon, 2022. "Property valuation using machine learning algorithms on statistical areas in Greater Sydney, Australia," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 123(C).
    10. Safiye Özge Subaşı & Tüzin Baycan, 2022. "Impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic on private rental housing prices in Turkey," Asia-Pacific Journal of Regional Science, Springer, vol. 6(3), pages 1177-1193, October.
    11. Arnab Bhattacharjee & Eduardo Castro & Taps Maiti & João Marques, 2014. "Endogenous spatial structure and delineation of submarkets: A new framework with application to housing markets," SEEC Discussion Papers 1403, Spatial Economics and Econometrics Centre, Heriot Watt University.
    12. Chris Leishman & Greg Costello & Steven Rowley & Craig Watkins, 2013. "The Predictive Performance of Multilevel Models of Housing Sub-markets: A Comparative Analysis," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 50(6), pages 1201-1220, May.
    13. Berna Keskin & Craig Watkins, 2017. "Defining spatial housing submarkets: Exploring the case for expert delineated boundaries," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 54(6), pages 1446-1462, May.
    14. Patrick Wilson & Michael White & Neil Dunse & Chee Cheong & Ralf Zurbruegg, 2011. "Modelling Price Movements in Housing Micro Markets," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 48(9), pages 1853-1874, July.
    15. Unel, Fatma Bunyan & Yalpir, Sukran, 2023. "Sustainable tax system design for use of mass real estate appraisal in land management," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 131(C).
    16. Gjestland, Arnstein & McArthur, David Philip & Osland, Liv & Thorsen, Inge, 2014. "The suitability of hedonic models for cost-benefit analysis: Evidence from commuting flows," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 136-151.
    17. Wang, Bingbing, 2022. "Housing market volatility under COVID-19: Diverging response of demand in luxury and low-end housing markets," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 119(C).
    18. Raul-Tomas Mora-Garcia & Maria-Francisca Cespedes-Lopez & V. Raul Perez-Sanchez, 2022. "Housing Price Prediction Using Machine Learning Algorithms in COVID-19 Times," Land, MDPI, vol. 11(11), pages 1-32, November.
    19. P. S. Morawakage & G. Earl & B. Liu & E. Roca & A. Omura, 2023. "Housing Risk and Returns in Submarkets with Spatial Dependence and Heterogeneity," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 67(4), pages 695-734, November.
    20. Yanke Dai & Yangfei Xu, 2022. "Cheating under Regulation: Evidence from “Yin-and-Yang” Contracts on Beijing’s Housing Market," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(20), pages 1-29, October.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:sae:envirb:v:49:y:2022:i:6:p:1646-1662. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: SAGE Publications (email available below). General contact details of provider: .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.