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A Multilevel Spatial Interaction Modelling Framework for Estimating Interregional Migration in Europe

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  • Adam Dennett
  • Alan Wilson

Abstract

This paper presents a new spatial interaction modelling framework for estimating subnational, international migration flows within Europe. We introduce a several-stage model which incorporates constraints at two geographical levels and produces estimates for a full matrices of interregional flows which adhere to known flows between countries in the EU system between 2002 and 2007. It is shown that internal migration data can be usefully employed to help distribute flows subnationally both through in-migration and out-migration distributions and through calibrated distance-decay parameters. Validation of the model outputs is achieved, in part, through comparison with national insurance number registration data from the UK.

Suggested Citation

  • Adam Dennett & Alan Wilson, 2013. "A Multilevel Spatial Interaction Modelling Framework for Estimating Interregional Migration in Europe," Environment and Planning A, , vol. 45(6), pages 1491-1507, June.
  • Handle: RePEc:sae:envira:v:45:y:2013:i:6:p:1491-1507
    DOI: 10.1068/a45398
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. A Stewart Fotheringham & Phil Rees & Tony Champion & Stamatis Kalogirou & Andy R Tremayne, 2004. "The Development of a Migration Model for England and Wales: Overview and Modelling Out-Migration," Environment and Planning A, , vol. 36(9), pages 1633-1672, September.
    2. S Openshaw, 1998. "Neural Network, Genetic, and Fuzzy Logic Models of Spatial Interaction," Environment and Planning A, , vol. 30(10), pages 1857-1872, October.
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    Cited by:

    1. Javier Rubio-Herrero & Jesús Muñuzuri, 2021. "Indirect estimation of interregional freight flows with a real-valued genetic algorithm," Transportation, Springer, vol. 48(1), pages 257-282, February.
    2. A. I. Alekseev & D. M. Vinogradov & I. P. Smirnov & A. A. Smirnova, 2021. "Between Two Capitals: Population Migrations of Tver Oblast and Their Reflection on the Social Network Vkontakte," Regional Research of Russia, Springer, vol. 11(1), pages 71-79, January.
    3. Kerkman, Kasper & Martens, Karel & Meurs, Henk, 2017. "A multilevel spatial interaction model of transit flows incorporating spatial and network autocorrelation," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 155-166.

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