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Manufacturing Employment Change in the American Midwest, 1977–86

Author

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  • D C Knudsen

    (Department of Geography and the Institute for Development Strategies, Indiana University, Bloomington, IN 47405, USA)

Abstract

In this paper, the changing pattern of manufacturing employment within the American Midwest for 1977–86 is examined as a function of four hypothesized trends in the US space-economy: national decline of industries concentrated in the Midwest; interregional shift in the focus of production within the USA; intraregional shift in the focus of production within the Midwest; and demetropolitanization of manufacturing. The degree to which each of these processes affects manufacturing employment change is treated here entirely as an empirical question and is examined by using an extended probabilistic shift-share model along the lines suggested by Theil and Gosh, and Knudsen and Barff. Results of the analysis indicate that change in manufacturing employment within the Midwest can be accounted for by interregional shift, intraregional shift, and the national decline of industries concentrated in the region, in that order. Once these other factors are accounted for, demetropolitanization of manufacturing played only a negligible role in changes in manufacturing employment within the region during the study period.

Suggested Citation

  • D C Knudsen, 1992. "Manufacturing Employment Change in the American Midwest, 1977–86," Environment and Planning A, , vol. 24(9), pages 1303-1316, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:envira:v:24:y:1992:i:9:p:1303-1316
    DOI: 10.1068/a241303
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Cletus C. Coughlin & Thomas B. Mandelbaum, 1990. "Accounting for changes in manufactured exports at the state level: 1976-86," Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, issue Sep, pages 3-14.
    2. Carlino, Gerald A., 1985. "Declining city productivity and the growth of rural regions: A test of alternative explanations," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 18(1), pages 11-27, July.
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    Cited by:

    1. Tony Bovaird, 1993. "Analysing Urban Economic Development," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 30(4-5), pages 631-658, May.

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