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A new divide? Assessing the transnational-nationalist dimension among political parties and the public across the EU

Author

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  • Daniel Jackson

    (Department of Political Science, Syracuse University, Syracuse, NY, USA)

  • Seth Jolly

Abstract

European politics is increasingly being contested along two dimensions: the economic left-right dimension and a relatively new dimension focused on European integration and immigration. We test this framework at the party and individual-levels in the European Union. First, we use the Chapel Hill Expert Survey to demonstrate that there is no simple relationship between these dimensions at the party level in many European Union countries, and in fact the two dimensions are increasingly orthogonal. We then use the 2019 European Elections Study to show that the transnational-nationalist dimension significantly improves vote choice models relative to models that ignore this dimension. Even more striking, the transnational-nationalist dimension is not just significant, but actually improves vote choice models as much or more than the economic left-right dimension.

Suggested Citation

  • Daniel Jackson & Seth Jolly, 2021. "A new divide? Assessing the transnational-nationalist dimension among political parties and the public across the EU," European Union Politics, , vol. 22(2), pages 316-339, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:eeupol:v:22:y:2021:i:2:p:316-339
    DOI: 10.1177/1465116520988915
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Ryan Bakker & Seth Jolly & Jonathan Polk, 2018. "Multidimensional incongruence and vote switching in Europe," Public Choice, Springer, vol. 176(1), pages 267-296, July.
    2. Nicholas Clark & Robert Rohrschneider, 2021. "Tracing the development of nationalist attitudes in the EU," European Union Politics, , vol. 22(2), pages 181-201, June.
    3. Inglehart, Ronald, 1971. "The Silent Revolution in Europe: Intergenerational Change in Post-Industrial Societies," American Political Science Review, Cambridge University Press, vol. 65(4), pages 991-1017, December.
    4. K Amber Curtis & Steven V Miller, 2021. "A (supra)nationalist personality? The Big Five’s effects on political-territorial identification," European Union Politics, , vol. 22(2), pages 202-226, June.
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    Cited by:

    1. Sander Kunst & Theresa Kuhn & Herman G van de Werfhorst, 2023. "As the twig is bent, the tree is inclined? The role of parental versus own education for openness towards globalisation," European Union Politics, , vol. 24(2), pages 264-285, June.
    2. Nicholas Clark & Robert Rohrschneider, 2021. "Tracing the development of nationalist attitudes in the EU," European Union Politics, , vol. 22(2), pages 181-201, June.
    3. Toshkov, Dimiter, 2023. "Political Ideology, Policy Preferences and Public Support for European Integration," OSF Preprints bg7xh, Center for Open Science.
    4. Chase Foster & Jeffry Frieden, 2021. "Economic determinants of public support for European integration, 1995–2018," European Union Politics, , vol. 22(2), pages 266-292, June.
    5. Ann-Kathrin Reinl & Daniela Braun, 2023. "Who holds the union together? Citizens’ preferences for European Union cohesion in challenging times," European Union Politics, , vol. 24(2), pages 390-409, June.
    6. Russell J Dalton, 2021. "National/European identities and political alignments," European Union Politics, , vol. 22(2), pages 340-350, June.
    7. Roman Hlatky, 2023. "The politicization of European integration and support for restrictive migration policies," European Union Politics, , vol. 24(4), pages 684-707, December.
    8. Wouter van der Brug & Eelco Harteveld, 2021. "The conditional effects of the refugee crisis on immigration attitudes and nationalism," European Union Politics, , vol. 22(2), pages 227-247, June.

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