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Problèmes épistémologiques liés à l'autoréalisation des théories et des prévisions économiques

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  • Isabelle This
  • Claude Jessua

Abstract

[fre] Ce texte propose de revenir sur un thème récurrent de l'épistémologie des sciences sociales. Repartant des analyses développées par K. R. Popper, il étudie les difficultés posées à l'économie par l'existence de prévisions ou de théories autoréalisatrices, et plus généralement par l'effet que les prévisions ou les théo­ries peuvent exercer sur les événements mêmes qu'elles sont censées prédire ou décrire. [eng] This article deals with an important question of epistemological analysis of social sciences. Based on the analysis developped by K.R. Popper, it studies the difficulties that self-fulfilling theories and predictions - and more generally effects that predictions or theories can have on anticipated events - represents for economics.

Suggested Citation

  • Isabelle This & Claude Jessua, 1996. "Problèmes épistémologiques liés à l'autoréalisation des théories et des prévisions économiques," Revue Économique, Programme National Persée, vol. 47(3), pages 555-565.
    • Handle: RePEc:prs:reveco:reco_0035-2764_1996_num_47_3_409792
    DOI: 10.3406/reco.1996.409792
    Note: DOI:10.3406/reco.1996.409792
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Emile Grunberg & Franco Modigliani, 1954. "The Predictability of Social Events," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 62, pages 465-465.
    2. Philippe Mongin, 1985. "Remarques sur les équilibres de représentations et l'autoréférence," Working Papers hal-00612783, HAL.
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