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L'impact de l'allocation chômage sur la probabilité de réemploi : de nouveaux résultats pour le Royaume Uni

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  • Élena Stancanelli

Abstract

[fre] L'impact de l'allocation chômage sur la probabilité de réemploi : de nouveaux résultats pour le Royaume-Uni . par Élena Stancanelli . L'objet de cet article est d'étudier l'impact du niveau et de la durée attendue de l'allocation chômage sur la probabilité individuelle de sortir du chômage. La relation entre la durée attendue d'allocation chômage et la probabilité de sortir du chômage a récemment fait l'objet d'une grande attention. Néanmoins, le nombre d'études empiriques disponibles sur les pays européens reste limité. Les données utilisées dans cette analyse se rapportent au Royaume-Uni. La probabilité de quitter le chômage pour un emploi à plein temps est distinguée de la probabilité de sortie vers un autre état. Nous concluons que, bien qu'il y ait des indications de pics dans le taux de hasard quand on se rapproche de la fin des droits à l'allocation chômage, l'effet de l'expiration des fins de droits sur la probabilité de sortie du chômage n'est pas statistiquement significatif. [eng] Unemployment Duration and the Duration of Entitlement to Unemployment Benefit . by Elena Stancanelli . The aim of this paper is to investigate the impact of the level and the expected duration of employment benefits on the individual probability of leaving unemployment. The relation between the expected duration of unemployment benefit and the probability of leaving unemployment has recently attracted considerable attention. Still a limited number of empirical studies is available for European countries. The data used for the analysis relate to the UK. The probability of leaving unemployment to take up a full-time job is distinguished from the probability of exiting in other states. I conclude that although there is some evidence of spikes in the hazard rate near the time of expected benefit exhaustion, no statistically significant benefit exhaustion effect is found.

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Bibliographic Info

Article provided by Programme National Persée in its journal Économie & prévision.

Volume (Year): 126 (1996)
Issue (Month): 5 ()
Pages: 31-44

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Handle: RePEc:prs:ecoprv:ecop_0249-4744_1996_num_126_5_5821

Note: DOI:10.3406/ecop.1996.5821
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Web page: http://www.persee.fr/web/revues/home/prescript/revue/ecop

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  1. Meyer, Bruce D, 1990. "Unemployment Insurance and Unemployment Spells," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 58(4), pages 757-82, July.
  2. Narendranathan, Wiji & Nickell, Stephen, 1985. "Modelling the process of job search," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 28(1), pages 29-49, April.
  3. Wadsworth, J., 1989. "Unemployment Benefits And Search Effort In The Uk Labour Market," Papers 333, London School of Economics - Centre for Labour Economics.
  4. Lawrence Katz & Bruce Meyer, 1988. "The Impact of the Potential Duration of Unemployment Benefits on the Duration of Unemployment," Working Papers 621, Princeton University, Department of Economics, Industrial Relations Section..
  5. Lindeboom, Maarten & Theeuwes, Jules, 1993. "Search, Benefits and Entitlement," Economica, London School of Economics and Political Science, vol. 60(239), pages 327-46, August.
  6. Dale T. Mortensen, 1977. "Unemployment insurance and job search decisions," Industrial and Labor Relations Review, ILR Review, Cornell University, ILR School, vol. 30(4), pages 505-517, July.
  7. Moffitt, Robert, 1985. "Unemployment insurance and the distribution of unemployment spells," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 28(1), pages 85-101, April.
  8. John C. Ham & Samuel Rea, 1986. "Unemployment Insurance and Male Unemployment Duration in Canada," Working Papers 592, Princeton University, Department of Economics, Industrial Relations Section..
  9. John Schmitt & Jonathan Wadsworth, 1993. "Job Search Activity and Changing Unemployment Benefit Entitlement: Pseudo-Panel Estimates for Britain," CEP Discussion Papers dp0148, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE.
  10. Lawrence F. Katz, 1986. "Layoffs, Recall and the Duration of Unemployment," NBER Working Papers 1825, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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