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Seniority Rules and the Persistence of Unemployment

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Author Info
Drazen, Allan
Gottfries, Nils

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Abstract

The authors formulate a stochastic infinite-horizon insider-outsider model that is solved explicitly and used to investigate the consequences of alternative 'seniority' rules for wage and employment determination. The model is simple enough to allow analysis of several different institutional setups. Persistence (but not hysteresis) arises when employment affects the layoff and hiring priority of workers and their relative influence on union decisions. Persistence can arise both when layoffs are random and when there is a strict layoff order. Expected employment depends not only on employment in the previous period but on a longer history of shocks. Copyright 1994 by Royal Economic Society.

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Publisher Info
Article provided by Oxford University Press in its journal Oxford Economic Papers.

Volume (Year): 46 (1994)
Issue (Month): 2 (April)
Pages: 228-44
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Handle: RePEc:oup:oxecpp:v:46:y:1994:i:2:p:228-44

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  1. Matthias Messner & Mattias K. Polborn, 1999. "Information and Dynamic Adjustment in Life Insurance Markets," UWO Department of Economics Working Papers 9912, University of Western Ontario, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  2. Eriksson, Stefan & Gottfries, Nils, 2000. "Ranking of Job Applicants, On-the-job Search and Persistent Unemployment," Working Paper Series 2000:3, Uppsala University, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  3. De Paola, Maria & Scoppa, Vincenzo, 2005. "The Role of Family Ties in the Labour Market. An Interpretation Based on Efficiency Wage Theory," MPRA Paper 8956, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]
  4. Michael Dobbie, 2004. "Hysteresis and Insider-Outside Theory - A Literature Review," Research Papers 0408, Macquarie University, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
  5. Fabien Postel-vinay & André Zylberberg, 1997. "Insiders et persistance : un réexamen dans un modèle de concurrence monopolistique," Annales d'Economie et de Statistique, ADRES, issue 46, pages 07, Avril-Jui. [Downloadable!]
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