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Functional Dynamic Factor Model for Intraday Price Curves

Author

Listed:
  • Piotr Kokoszka
  • Hong Miao
  • Xi Zhang

Abstract

This article proposes a functional dynamic factor model for the evaluation of the impact of scalar– and curve–valued factors on the shapes of intraday price curves. The asymptotic theory leads to practically useful confidence intervals for the factor coefficients. The main findings pertain to the impact of the shapes of intraday oil futures on the shapes of intraday prices of blue chip stocks.

Suggested Citation

  • Piotr Kokoszka & Hong Miao & Xi Zhang, 2015. "Functional Dynamic Factor Model for Intraday Price Curves," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 13(2), pages 456-477.
    • Handle: RePEc:oup:jfinec:v:13:y:2015:i:2:p:456-477.
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1093/jjfinec/nbu004
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Chenlei Leng & Degui Li & Hanlin Shang & Yingcun Xia, 2024. "Covariance Function Estimation for High-Dimensional Functional Time Series with Dual Factor Structures," Papers 2401.05784, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2024.
    2. Zhenjie Liang & Futian Weng & Yuanting Ma & Yan Xu & Miao Zhu & Cai Yang, 2022. "Measurement and Analysis of High Frequency Assert Volatility Based on Functional Data Analysis," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(7), pages 1-11, April.
    3. Lajos Horváth & Piotr Kokoszka & Jeremy VanderDoes & Shixuan Wang, 2022. "Inference in functional factor models with applications to yield curves," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 43(6), pages 872-894, November.
    4. Li, Xuemei & Liu, Xiaoxing, 2023. "Functional classification and dynamic prediction of cumulative intraday returns in crude oil futures," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 284(C).
    5. Horváth, Lajos & Li, Bo & Li, Hemei & Liu, Zhenya, 2020. "Time-varying beta in functional factor models: Evidence from China," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
    6. Kokoszka Piotr & Miao Hong & Stoev Stilian & Zheng Ben, 2019. "Risk Analysis of Cumulative Intraday Return Curves," Journal of Time Series Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 11(2), pages 1-31, July.
    7. Kokoszka Piotr & Miao Hong & Zheng Ben, 2017. "Testing for asymmetry in betas of cumulative returns: Impact of the financial crisis and crude oil price," Statistics & Risk Modeling, De Gruyter, vol. 34(1-2), pages 33-53, June.
    8. Larbi Ait-Hennani & Zoulikha Kaid & Ali Laksaci & Mustapha Rachdi, 2022. "Nonparametric Estimation of the Expected Shortfall Regression for Quasi-Associated Functional Data," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(23), pages 1-23, November.
    9. Bouri, Elie & Lau, Chi Keung Marco & Saeed, Tareq & Wang, Shixuan & Zhao, Yuqian, 2021. "On the intraday return curves of Bitcoin: Predictability and trading opportunities," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
    10. Chen Tang & Yanlin Shi, 2021. "Forecasting High-Dimensional Financial Functional Time Series: An Application to Constituent Stocks in Dow Jones Index," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(8), pages 1-13, July.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    functional factor model; intraday price curves; oil futures;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
    • C53 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Forecasting and Prediction Models; Simulation Methods
    • C12 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Hypothesis Testing: General

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