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The Solow Residual for Australia: Technology Shocks or Factor Utilization?

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Author Info
Otto, Glenn
Abstract

This paper presents evidence that implies that fluctuations in the Solow residual for Australia do not solely reflect technology shocks. Recent work suggests that the Solow residual is a noisy measure of technology shocks. One source of noise in the standard measure of the Solow residual is changes in factor utilization. In this paper, a structural vector autoregression model for capacity utilization and the Solow residual is estimated. A transitory shock is identified that accounts for about 30 percent of the short term variation in the Solow residual and virtually 100 percent of the variation in capacity utilization at all horizons. Copyright 1999 by Oxford University Press.

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Publisher Info
Article provided by Oxford University Press in its journal Economic Inquiry.

Volume (Year): 37 (1999)
Issue (Month): 1 (January)
Pages: 136-53
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Handle: RePEc:oup:ecinqu:v:37:y:1999:i:1:p:136-53

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  1. John Simon, 2001. "The Decline in Australian Output Volatility," RBA Research Discussion Papers rdp2001-01, Reserve Bank of Australia. [Downloadable!]
  2. Hyunjoon Lim & Sangho Kim, 2004. "Does the Solow Residual for Korea Reflect Pure Technology Shocks?," Econometric Society 2004 Far Eastern Meetings 777, Econometric Society. [Downloadable!]
  3. Katharine Neiss & Edward Nelson, 2002. "Inflation dynamics, marginal cost, and the output gap: evidence from three countries," Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue Mar. [Downloadable!]
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