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A cost-risk analysis of sovereign debt composition in CESEE

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Abstract

Drawing on a newly compiled structural debt database, this article examines sovereign interest rate exposure in ten countries in Central, Eastern and Southeastern Europe (CESEE). The average maturity of sovereign debt has lengthened over time and converged across CESEE, indicating that the likelihood of sudden changes in interest rate has decreased since 2009. Using a simple theoretical model, this article identifies the drivers of this development, highlighting the role of debt managers’ risk preferences.

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  • Sebastian Beer, 2018. "A cost-risk analysis of sovereign debt composition in CESEE," Focus on European Economic Integration, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank), issue Q1-18, pages 6-25.
    • Handle: RePEc:onb:oenbfi:y:2018:i:q1-18:b:1
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    Cited by:

    1. Markus Eller & Johannes Holler, 2018. "Digging into the composition of government debt in CESEE: a risk evaluation," Focus on European Economic Integration, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank), issue Q2-18, pages 56-80.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    debt management; interest rate risk; financial vulnerability; CESEE region;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • H63 - Public Economics - - National Budget, Deficit, and Debt - - - Debt; Debt Management; Sovereign Debt

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