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High replicability of newly discovered social-behavioural findings is achievable

Author

Listed:
  • John Protzko

    (University of California, Santa Barbara
    Central Connecticut State University)

  • Jon Krosnick

    (Stanford University)

  • Leif Nelson

    (University of California, Berkeley)

  • Brian A. Nosek

    (Center for Open Science
    University of Virginia)

  • Jordan Axt

    (McGill University)

  • Matt Berent

    (Matt Berent Consulting)

  • Nicholas Buttrick

    (University of Wisconsin–Madison)

  • Matthew DeBell

    (Stanford University)

  • Charles R. Ebersole

    (University of Virginia)

  • Sebastian Lundmark

    (University of Gothenburg)

  • Bo MacInnis

    (Stanford University)

  • Michael O’Donnell

    (Georgetown University)

  • Hannah Perfecto

    (Washington University in St. Louis)

  • James E. Pustejovsky

    (University of Wisconsin–Madison)

  • Scott S. Roeder

    (University of South Carolina)

  • Jan Walleczek

    (Phenoscience Laboratories)

  • Jonathan W. Schooler

    (University of California, Santa Barbara)

Abstract

Failures to replicate evidence of new discoveries have forced scientists to ask whether this unreliability is due to suboptimal implementation of methods or whether presumptively optimal methods are not, in fact, optimal. This paper reports an investigation by four coordinated laboratories of the prospective replicability of 16 novel experimental findings using rigour-enhancing practices: confirmatory tests, large sample sizes, preregistration and methodological transparency. In contrast to past systematic replication efforts that reported replication rates averaging 50%, replication attempts here produced the expected effects with significance testing (P

Suggested Citation

  • John Protzko & Jon Krosnick & Leif Nelson & Brian A. Nosek & Jordan Axt & Matt Berent & Nicholas Buttrick & Matthew DeBell & Charles R. Ebersole & Sebastian Lundmark & Bo MacInnis & Michael O’Donnell , 2024. "High replicability of newly discovered social-behavioural findings is achievable," Nature Human Behaviour, Nature, vol. 8(2), pages 311-319, February.
  • Handle: RePEc:nat:nathum:v:8:y:2024:i:2:d:10.1038_s41562-023-01749-9
    DOI: 10.1038/s41562-023-01749-9
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
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    4. Camerer, Colin & Dreber, Anna & Forsell, Eskil & Ho, Teck-Hua & Huber, Jurgen & Johannesson, Magnus & Kirchler, Michael & Almenberg, Johan & Altmejd, Adam & Chan, Taizan & Heikensten, Emma & Holzmeist, 2016. "Evaluating replicability of laboratory experiments in Economics," MPRA Paper 75461, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. Konstantopoulos, Spyros, 2011. "Fixed Effects and Variance Components Estimation in Three-Level Meta-Analysis," IZA Discussion Papers 5678, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
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