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Risks of Regional Tax Systems and Their Portfolio Decomposition: The Case of Modern Russia

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  • Marina Malkina

    (Center of Macro and Microeconomics, Institute of Economics and Entrepreneurship, Lobachevsky State University of Nizhni Novgorod, 23 Prospekt Gagarina, 603950 Nizhni Novgorod, Russia)

  • Rodion Balakin

    (Center of Macro and Microeconomics, Institute of Economics and Entrepreneurship, Lobachevsky State University of Nizhni Novgorod, 23 Prospekt Gagarina, 603950 Nizhni Novgorod, Russia)

Abstract

The purpose of this paper is an assessment of the risk of regional tax systems at different levels of the budget system (consolidated, federal, regional and local), decomposition of this risk by sources (various taxes and tax groups) and the isolation of internal (related to own tax return volatility) and external (related to the correlation of tax returns volatility) risk components. Using the portfolio approach, we measured and decomposed the risk of tax systems of 80 constituent entities of the Russian Federation in 2006-2017. As a result, we found a weak positive relationship between the risk and return of the regional tax systems at all budget levels. By comparing the structure of return and risk of regional tax systems, we identified taxes - risk dampers and taxes - risk enhancers, and estimated the overall level of imbalance in regional tax systems at the studied budget levels. It allowed us to conclude about the effectiveness of diversification of regional tax systems, the advisability of combining different taxes in a single portfolio, or transferring them to another level of the budget system.

Suggested Citation

  • Marina Malkina & Rodion Balakin, 2020. "Risks of Regional Tax Systems and Their Portfolio Decomposition: The Case of Modern Russia," Acta Universitatis Agriculturae et Silviculturae Mendelianae Brunensis, Mendel University Press, vol. 68(6), pages 995-1009.
    • Handle: RePEc:mup:actaun:actaun_2020068060995
    DOI: 10.11118/actaun202068060995
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Marina Malkina, 2017. "Influence of the Industrial Structure of Economy on the Risk Level of Russian Regions' Tax Systems," Acta Universitatis Agriculturae et Silviculturae Mendelianae Brunensis, Mendel University Press, vol. 65(6), pages 2025-2035.
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    10. Marina Malkina & Rodion Balakin, 2015. "Correlation Assessment of Tax System Risk and Profitability in the Russian Regions," Economy of region, Centre for Economic Security, Institute of Economics of Ural Branch of Russian Academy of Sciences, vol. 1(3), pages 241-255.
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