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Impulse-response analysis of monetary policy - Visegád group countries case

Author

Listed:
  • Kateřina Myšková

    (Department of Statistics and Operational Analysis, Mendel University in Brno, Zemědělská 1, 613 00 Brno, Czech Republic)

  • David Hampel

    (Department of Statistics and Operational Analysis, Mendel University in Brno, Zemědělská 1, 613 00 Brno, Czech Republic)

  • Anna Dobešová

    (Department of Statistics and Operational Analysis, Mendel University in Brno, Zemědělská 1, 613 00 Brno, Czech Republic)

Abstract

In this paper, we focus on comparability of monetary policies of Visegrád group countries (V4). Main objective of central banks function in V4 countries lies in maintaining price stability. For this purpose, inflation targeting regime is realized in a medium-term focus in V4, which means that there is a certain lag between monetary policy operation and its influence on an inflation target. Central bank does not have a direct impact on its ultimate goals. Therefore, any monetary policy analysis and assumption of its effectiveness comes out from an essential existence of a working transmission mechanism. Thus, changes in settings of monetary policy instruments have to be able to inflict causal changes on intermediary markets and via these markets on target markets. This situation can be modeled by the vector autoregressive (VAR) model with suitable variables. Our main task is to compare a relationship between VAR model responses to predefined impulses for all V4 pairs. We use calibration technique for this purpose. Specifically, we will utilize one-dimensional calibration model with a linear calibration function for deriving unknown parameters. Moreover, we will test a significance of estimated parameters. We distinguish between model parameters for before-crisis- and during-crisis-data, because we suppose that financial crisis affects VAR model parameters significantly. Different responses in each country can mean the inability of the common monetary policy for V4 at present.

Suggested Citation

  • Kateřina Myšková & David Hampel & Anna Dobešová, 2013. "Impulse-response analysis of monetary policy - Visegád group countries case," Acta Universitatis Agriculturae et Silviculturae Mendelianae Brunensis, Mendel University Press, vol. 61(7), pages 2561-2567.
  • Handle: RePEc:mup:actaun:actaun_2013061072561
    DOI: 10.11118/actaun201361072561
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Zsolt Darvas, 2013. "Monetary transmission in three central European economies: evidence from time-varying coefficient vector autoregressions," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 40(2), pages 363-390, May.
    2. Tomasz Lyziak & Jan Przystupa & Ewa Stanislawska & Ewa Wrbel, 2011. "Monetary Policy Transmission Disturbances During the Financial Crisis," Eastern European Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 49(5), pages 75-96, September.
    3. Lütkepohl,Helmut & Krätzig,Markus (ed.), 2004. "Applied Time Series Econometrics," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521839198.
    4. Lütkepohl,Helmut & Krätzig,Markus (ed.), 2004. "Applied Time Series Econometrics," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521547871.
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