IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/mes/postke/v39y2016i1p93-114.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Looking into the abyss? Brazil at the mid-2010s

Author

Listed:
  • Fernando J. Cardim De Carvalho

Abstract

In 2015, the Brazilian economy was afflicted by a lethal combination of a falling level of activity and accelerating inflation. Expectations for 2016 are equally or even more adverse, since the effects of rising unemployment emerge only after a lag. The domestic debate has opposed analysts who believe the crisis is due exclusively to past policy mistakes to analysts who believe that all was well until the government decided to implement austerity policies in 2015. A closer examination of the evidence shows that in fact both reasons contributed to causing the crisis, but it also suggests that its depth has a more proximate cause in the political collapse of the federal government in 2015, which led Brazilian society to an impasse for which a solution is not yet in view.

Suggested Citation

  • Fernando J. Cardim De Carvalho, 2016. "Looking into the abyss? Brazil at the mid-2010s," Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 39(1), pages 93-114, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:mes:postke:v:39:y:2016:i:1:p:93-114
    DOI: 10.1080/01603477.2016.1152556
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/01603477.2016.1152556
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1080/01603477.2016.1152556?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to look for a different version below or search for a different version of it.

    Other versions of this item:

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. George A. Akerlof & Olivier Blanchard & David Romer & Joseph E. Stiglitz (ed.), 2014. "What Have We Learned? Macroeconomic Policy After the Crisis," MIT Press Books, The MIT Press, edition 1, volume 1, number 0262027348, December.
    2. Jan Kregel, 2009. "The Global Crisis and the Implications for Developing Countries and the BRICs," Brazilian Journal of Political Economy, Center of Political Economy, vol. 29(4), pages 341-356.
    3. Jan Kregel, 2009. "The Global Crisis and the Implications for Developing Countries and the BRICs: Is the B Really Justified?," Economics Public Policy Brief Archive ppb_102, Levy Economics Institute.
    4. Carmem Aparecida Feijo & Fernando J. Cardim De Carvalho, 1992. "The Resilience of High Inflation: Recent Brazilian Failures with Stabilization Policies," Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 15(1), pages 109-124, September.
    5. de Carvalho, Fernando J Cardim, 1993. "Strato-inflation and High Inflation: The Brazilian Experience," Cambridge Journal of Economics, Cambridge Political Economy Society, vol. 17(1), pages 63-78, March.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Fernando J. Cardim de Carvalho, 2016. "The Narrow Path for Brazil," Economics Policy Note Archive 16-2, Levy Economics Institute.
    2. Tanweer Akram & Syed Al-Helal Uddin, 2020. "An Empirical Analysis of Long-Term Brazilian Interest Rates," Economics Working Paper Archive wp_956, Levy Economics Institute.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Chin-Hong Puah & Rayenda Khresna Brahmana & Kai-Hung Wong, 2015. "Revisiting Stock Market Integration Pre-Post Subprime Mortgage Crisis: Insight From BRIC Countries," Economics and Finance in Indonesia, Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Indonesia, vol. 61, pages 120-130, August.
    2. Mariana Mazzucato & Caetano C.R. Penna, 2016. "Beyond market failures: the market creating and shaping roles of state investment banks," Journal of Economic Policy Reform, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 19(4), pages 305-326, October.
    3. Felipe Rezende, 2015. "Why does Brazil’s banking sector need public banks? What should BNDES do?," PSL Quarterly Review, Economia civile, vol. 68(274), pages 239-275.
    4. Tanweer Akram & Syed Al-Helal Uddin, 2021. "An empirical analysis of long-term Brazilian interest rates," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 16(9), pages 1-20, September.
    5. Tanweer Akram & Syed Al-Helal Uddin, 2020. "An Empirical Analysis of Long-Term Brazilian Interest Rates," Economics Working Paper Archive wp_956, Levy Economics Institute.
    6. Fernando J. Cardim de Carvalho, 2016. "The Narrow Path for Brazil," Economics Policy Note Archive 16-2, Levy Economics Institute.
    7. Devin Thomas Rafferty, 2017. "“In Case of Emergency, Break-Open Glass†: The IMF’s “New†Institutional View, Financial Instability, and Financing Development Processes," Review of Radical Political Economics, Union for Radical Political Economics, vol. 49(4), pages 543-550, December.
    8. A. Saad-Filho, 1998. "Currency Stabilisation under Conditions of International Capital Mobility: The Case of Brazil," CIBS Research Papers in International Business 13-98, London South Bank University CIBS.
    9. Matteo Benetton, 2021. "Leverage Regulation and Market Structure: A Structural Model of the U.K. Mortgage Market," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 76(6), pages 2997-3053, December.
    10. André Kallåk Anundsen & Ragnar Nymoen, 2015. "Did US Consumers 'Save for a Rainy Day' Before the Great Recession?," CESifo Working Paper Series 5347, CESifo.
    11. Matias Vernengo, 2003. "Balance of Payments Constraint and Inflation," Working Paper Series, Department of Economics, University of Utah 2003_06, University of Utah, Department of Economics.
    12. Cesar Rodrigues van der Laan & André Moreira Cunha & Marcos Tadeu Caputi Lélis, 2017. "On the effectiveness of capital controls during the Great Recession: The Brazilian experience (2007–2013)," Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 40(2), pages 203-222, April.
    13. Arne Heise, 2014. "The Future of Economics in a Lakatos–Bourdieu Framework," International Journal of Political Economy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 43(3), pages 70-93, July.
    14. ZELDEA, Cristina Georgiana, 2019. "Systemic Risk: An Overview," Studii Financiare (Financial Studies), Centre of Financial and Monetary Research "Victor Slavescu", vol. 23(3), pages 34-48, September.
    15. Victor Pontines, 2021. "The real effects of loan-to-value limits: empirical evidence from Korea," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 61(3), pages 1311-1350, September.
    16. Fernando J. Cardim de Carvalho, 2000. "New competitive strategies of foreign banks in large emerging economies: the case of Brazil," Banca Nazionale del Lavoro Quarterly Review, Banca Nazionale del Lavoro, vol. 53(213), pages 135-169.
    17. F.J. Cardim De Carvalho, 1998. "The real stabilisation plan and the banking sector in Brazil," Banca Nazionale del Lavoro Quarterly Review, Banca Nazionale del Lavoro, vol. 51(206), pages 291-326.
    18. Nataliia Osina, 2021. "Global liquidity and capital flow regulations," Journal of Banking Regulation, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 22(1), pages 52-72, March.
    19. Joseph E. Stiglitz, 2016. "The Theory of Credit and Macro-economic Stability," NBER Working Papers 22837, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    20. Jakub Dolezal, 2023. "Business and financial cycles of major global economies," Occasional Publications - Chapters in Edited Volumes, in: CNB Global Economic Outlook - September 2023, pages 14-20, Czech National Bank.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • E60 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - General

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:mes:postke:v:39:y:2016:i:1:p:93-114. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Chris Longhurst (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.tandfonline.com/MPKE20 .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.