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Household Debt, Corporate Debt, and the Real Economy: Some Empirical Evidence

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  • Donghyun Park
  • Kwanho Shin
  • Shu Tian

Abstract

The rapid accumulation of private debt is widely viewed as a major risk to financial and economic stability. This article systematically and comprehensively assesses the effect of private debt buildup on economic growth. In the spirit of the existing study that separately examines the effects of two types of private debt – household debt and corporate debt – on growth in advanced economies, we specifically provide new evidence on the growth-private debt nexus in both advanced and emerging market economies (EMEs). Moreover, we construct financial peaks in terms of the speed of debt accumulation rather than crisis dates and find that in both advanced and EMEs, corporate debt buildups cause more financial peaks than household debt buildups. Furthermore, corporate debt-induced financial recessions inflict a bigger damage on output than household debt-induced financial recessions in EMEs. Overall, our evidence suggests that policymakers would do well to closely monitor not only household debt but also corporate debt.

Suggested Citation

  • Donghyun Park & Kwanho Shin & Shu Tian, 2022. "Household Debt, Corporate Debt, and the Real Economy: Some Empirical Evidence," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 58(5), pages 1474-1490, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:mes:emfitr:v:58:y:2022:i:5:p:1474-1490
    DOI: 10.1080/1540496X.2021.1895114
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    Cited by:

    1. Yun Jung Kim & Jing Zhang, 2021. "The Relationship Between Debt and Output," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 69(1), pages 230-257, March.
    2. Zhenqian Huang, 2019. "Maintaining financial stability in Asia and the Pacific," MPDD Policy Briefs PB101, United Nations Economic and Social Commission for Asia and the Pacific (ESCAP).
    3. Qureshi, Irfan & Liaqat, Zara, 2020. "The long-term consequences of external debt: Revisiting the evidence and inspecting the mechanism using panel VARs," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises

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