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The Determinants of Stock Prices: New Evidence from the Indian Banking Sector

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  • Paresh Kumar Narayan
  • Seema Narayan
  • Harminder Singh

Abstract

We examine the determinants of stock prices for major Indian banks using panel data modeling techniques. Our work is novel because, for the first time in the literature on Indian banking, we use a panel Granger causality test that reveals the direction and sign of causality. We find evidence of panel cointegration among stock prices, economic activity, interest rates, and exchange rates for thirteen banks. Our results suggest that while economic activity and currency depreciation contribute to a rise in share prices, an increase in the interest rate reduces bank share prices. Moreover, only economic activity Granger-causes stock prices in the long run.

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  • Paresh Kumar Narayan & Seema Narayan & Harminder Singh, 2014. "The Determinants of Stock Prices: New Evidence from the Indian Banking Sector," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 50(2), pages 5-15, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:mes:emfitr:v:50:y:2014:i:2:p:5-15
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    Cited by:

    1. Arif SALDANLI & Mücahit AYDIN & Hakan BEKTAŞ, 2017. "The determinants of stock prices: Evidence from the Turkish banking sector," Theoretical and Applied Economics, Asociatia Generala a Economistilor din Romania - AGER, vol. 0(1(610), S), pages 181-188, Spring.
    2. Katircioglu, Setareh & Katircioglu, Salih, 2023. "The effects of environmental taxation on stock returns of renewable energy producers: Evidence from Turkey," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 208(C), pages 311-323.
    3. Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad & Dene Hurley & Román Ferrer, 2021. "U.S. stock prices and macroeconomic fundamentals: Fresh evidence using the quantile ARDL approach," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(3), pages 3569-3587, July.
    4. Li, Xing & Hou, Keqiang, 2023. "Over-weighting risk factor augmented with mutual fund managers' social networks," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    5. Camilleri, Silvio John & Scicluna, Nicolanne & Bai, Ye, 2019. "Do stock markets lead or lag macroeconomic variables? Evidence from select European countries," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 170-186.
    6. Ahmed, Walid M.A., 2020. "Stock market reactions to domestic sentiment: Panel CS-ARDL evidence," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
    7. Arif SALDANLI & Mücahit AYDIN & Hakan BEKTAŞ, 2017. "The determinants of stock prices: Evidence from the Turkish banking sector," Theoretical and Applied Economics, Asociatia Generala a Economistilor din Romania - AGER, vol. 0(1(610), S), pages 181-188, Spring.
    8. Husam RJOUB & Irfan CIVCIR & Nil Gunsel RESATOGLU, 2017. "Micro and Macroeconomic Determinants of Stock Prices: The Case of Turkish Banking Sector," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(1), pages 150-166, March.

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