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Monetary Aggregates as Monetary Targets: A Statistical Investigation

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Author Info
Roberds, William
Whiteman, Charles H

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Abstract

In this paper, the authors analyze statistical properties of the monetary base, M1, and M2 for the postwar U.S. data record. The authors are specifically interested in answering three policy-related questions. First, to what extent do these monetary aggregates contain information useful for predicting movements in prices and real output? Second, how do the aggregates rank as to their predictive usefulness? Third, how do these aggregates rank as to the stability of their relationship to the macroeconomy? Copyright 1992 by Ohio State University Press.

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Publisher Info
Article provided by Blackwell Publishing in its journal Journal of Money, Credit and Banking.

Volume (Year): 24 (1992)
Issue (Month): 2 (May)
Pages: 141-61
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Handle: RePEc:mcb:jmoncb:v:24:y:1992:i:2:p:141-61

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  1. Ellis W Tallman & Naveen Chandra, 1997. "Financial Aggregates as Conditioning Information for Australian Output and Inflation," RBA Research Discussion Papers rdp9704, Reserve Bank of Australia. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  2. Anthony Garratt & Gary Koop & Emi Mise & Shaun Vahey, 2008. "Real-time Prediction with UK Monetary Aggregates in the Presence of Model Uncertainty," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Discussion Paper Series DP2008/13, Reserve Bank of New Zealand. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  3. Richard M. Todd, 1990. "Vector autoregression evidence on monetarism: another look at the robustness debate," Quarterly Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, issue Spr, pages 19-37. [Downloadable!]
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