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The Impact of Macroeconomic Variables on Stock Prices:The Case of Tehran Stock Exchange

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  • Hassanzadeh , Ali

    (Monetary and Banking Research Institute (MBRI), Central Bank of the Islamic Republic of Iran (CBI))

  • Kianvand , Mehran

    (Islamic Azad University)

Abstract

This paper examines the effects of selected macroeconomic variables on the stock market index in Iran. Using quarterly data, we examine the relationships between the Tehran Stock Index (TSI) and five macroeconomic variables which consist of gross domestic product, nominal effective exchange rate, money supply, gold coin price and investment in housing sector from 1996:1 to 2008:1.Various econometric analyses such as Co-integration and Vector Error Correction Method (VECM) are employed on time series data. It finds that Iran's stock market index is positively influenced by the growth rate of the GDP, the money supply and negatively affected by the gold prices, the private sector investment in housing sector and the nominal effective exchange rate.

Suggested Citation

  • Hassanzadeh , Ali & Kianvand , Mehran, 2012. "The Impact of Macroeconomic Variables on Stock Prices:The Case of Tehran Stock Exchange," Journal of Money and Economy, Monetary and Banking Research Institute, Central Bank of the Islamic Republic of Iran, vol. 6(2), pages 171-190, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:mbr:jmonec:v:6:y:2012:i:2:p:171-190
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    9. Yu Hsing, 2011. "The Stock Market and Macroeconomic Variables in a BRICS Country and Policy Implications," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 1(1), pages 12-18.
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    Cited by:

    1. Naoyuki Yoshino & Farhad Taghizadeh-Hesary & Ali Hassanzadeh & Ahmad Danu Prasetyo, 2014. "Response of Stock Markets to Monetary Policy : An Asian Stock Market Perspective," Macroeconomics Working Papers 24516, East Asian Bureau of Economic Research.
    2. Abounoori , Esmaiel & Abdoh Tabrizi , Hossein & Mahmoodi , Nooshin, 2017. "The Effect of Divorce on Urban Housing Costs in Iran: A Spatial Autocorrelation Model," Journal of Money and Economy, Monetary and Banking Research Institute, Central Bank of the Islamic Republic of Iran, vol. 12(2), pages 107-122, April.
    3. Sumit Kumar Maji & Arindam Laha & Debasish Sur, 2020. "Dynamic Nexuses between Macroeconomic Variables and Sectoral Stock Indices: Reflection from Indian Manufacturing Industry," Management and Labour Studies, XLRI Jamshedpur, School of Business Management & Human Resources, vol. 45(3), pages 239-269, August.
    4. Saeed Rasekhi & Zahra Mila Elmi & Milad Shahrazi, 2016. "Price Bubbles Spillover among Asset Markets: Evidence from Iran," Iranian Economic Review (IER), Faculty of Economics,University of Tehran.Tehran,Iran, vol. 20(4), pages 501-523, Autumn.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Stock Market; Macroeconomic Variables; Co-integration;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • G10 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates

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