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Forecasting stock price with the residual income model

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  • Huong Higgins

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  • Huong Higgins, 2011. "Forecasting stock price with the residual income model," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 36(4), pages 583-604, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:kap:rqfnac:v:36:y:2011:i:4:p:583-604
    DOI: 10.1007/s11156-010-0187-y
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Nicholas Dopuch & Chandra Seethamraju & Weihong Xu, 2008. "An empirical assessment of the premium associated with meeting or beating both time-series earnings expectations and analysts’ forecasts," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 31(2), pages 147-166, August.
    2. Lucie Courteau & Jennifer L. Kao & Gordon D. Richardson, 2001. "Equity Valuation Employing the Ideal versus Ad Hoc Terminal Value Expressions," Contemporary Accounting Research, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 18(4), pages 625-661, December.
    3. Gili Yen & Cheng-few Lee, 2008. "Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH): Past, Present and Future," Review of Pacific Basin Financial Markets and Policies (RPBFMP), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 11(02), pages 305-329.
    4. Stephen H. Penman & Theodore Sougiannis, 1998. "A Comparison of Dividend, Cash Flow, and Earnings Approaches to Equity Valuation," Contemporary Accounting Research, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 15(3), pages 343-383, September.
    5. Brown, Stephen & Lo, Kin & Lys, Thomas, 1999. "Use of R2 in accounting research: measuring changes in value relevance over the last four decades," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 28(2), pages 83-115, December.
    6. Dechow, Patricia M. & Hutton, Amy P. & Sloan, Richard G., 1999. "An empirical assessment of the residual income valuation model1," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 26(1-3), pages 1-34, January.
    7. Frankel, Richard & Lee, Charles M. C., 1998. "Accounting valuation, market expectation, and cross-sectional stock returns," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 25(3), pages 283-319, June.
    8. Mindy Morel, 2003. "Endogenous Parameter Time Series Estimation of the Ohlson Model: Linear and Nonlinear Analyses," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 30(9-10), pages 1341-1362.
    9. Ruey Tsay & Yi-Mien Lin & Hsiao-Wen Wang, 2008. "Residual income, value-relevant information and equity valuation: a simultaneous equations approach," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 31(4), pages 331-358, November.
    10. Godfrey, Leslie G, 1978. "Testing for Higher Order Serial Correlation in Regression Equations When the Regressors Include Lagged Dependent Variables," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 46(6), pages 1303-1310, November.
    11. Mark Rubinstein, 1976. "The Valuation of Uncertain Income Streams and the Pricing of Options," Bell Journal of Economics, The RAND Corporation, vol. 7(2), pages 407-425, Autumn.
    12. Godfrey, Leslie G, 1978. "Testing against General Autoregressive and Moving Average Error Models When the Regressors Include Lagged Dependent Variables," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 46(6), pages 1293-1301, November.
    13. Kothari, S. P. & Zimmerman, Jerold L., 1995. "Price and return models," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 20(2), pages 155-192, September.
    14. Beaver, William H., 1999. "Comments on 'An empirical assessment of the residual income valuation model'," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 26(1-3), pages 35-42, January.
    15. Francis, J & Olsson, P & Oswald, DR, 2000. "Comparing the accuracy and explainability of dividend, free cash flow, and abnormal earnings equity value estimates," Journal of Accounting Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 38(1), pages 45-70.
    16. Mary E. Barth & Sanjay Kallapur, 1996. "The Effects of Cross†Sectional Scale Differences on Regression Results in Empirical Accounting Research," Contemporary Accounting Research, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 13(2), pages 527-567, September.
    17. Mindy Morel, 2003. "Endogenous Parameter Time Series Estimation of the Ohlson Model: Linear and Nonlinear Analyses," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 30(9‐10), pages 1341-1362, December.
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    Cited by:

    1. Alibey Kudar & Güven Sayılgan, 2021. "A new sustainable dividend policy and valuation model: Decreasing growth rate model," Managerial and Decision Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(6), pages 1638-1642, September.
    2. Christian Blecher, 2019. "The influence of uncertainty on the standard-setting decision between fair value and historical cost accounting under asymmetric information," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 53(1), pages 47-72, July.
    3. David Newton, 2019. "Are All Forecasts Made Equal? Conditioning Models on Fit to Improve Accuracy," Review of Pacific Basin Financial Markets and Policies (RPBFMP), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 22(03), pages 1-32, September.
    4. Lawrence D. Schall, 2015. "Valuation of an Equity Interest," Review of Pacific Basin Financial Markets and Policies (RPBFMP), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 18(04), pages 1-25, December.
    5. Michael Lacina & Byung Ro, 2013. "Market implied future earnings and analysts’ forecasts," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 41(2), pages 295-341, August.
    6. Akram Budagaga, 2017. "Dividend Payment and its Impact on the Value of Firms Listed on Istanbul Stock Exchange: A Residual Income Approach," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 7(2), pages 370-376.
    7. Faisal M. Awwal & Prasad V. Bidarkota, 2021. "A state space framework for the residual income valuation model of stock prices," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 1(4), pages 1-28, April.
    8. Iris Bergmann & Wolfgang Schultze, 2018. "Accounting based valuation: a simultaneous equations model for forecasting earnings to proxy for ‘other information’," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 50(4), pages 1057-1091, May.
    9. Kuo, Chen-Yin, 2016. "Does the vector error correction model perform better than others in forecasting stock price? An application of residual income valuation theory," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 52(PB), pages 772-789.
    10. Chen-Yin Kuo, 2017. "Is the accuracy of stock value forecasting relevant to industry factors or firm-specific factors? An empirical study of the Ohlson model," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 49(1), pages 195-225, July.
    11. Pengguo Wang, 2014. "On the relevance of earnings components in valuation and forecasting," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 42(3), pages 399-413, April.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Financial analyst; Earnings forecast; Forecasting model; Price forecast; Residual income model; Valuation; G11; G17; M41;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • G17 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Financial Forecasting and Simulation
    • M41 - Business Administration and Business Economics; Marketing; Accounting; Personnel Economics - - Accounting - - - Accounting

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