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Instant Winners: Legal Change in Transition and the Diffusion of State Lotteries

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  • Jackson, John D
  • Saurman, David S
  • Shughart, William F, II

Abstract

This paper investigates the determinants of legal change in a public choice framework. An empirical model explaining the timing and probability of decisions to adopt state-operated lotteries is developed. Employing a Tobit estimator and explicitly considering the effects of state-specific constitutional and political structures, spending and tax policies, and federal revenue importation, evidence is presented showing that legal change is much like economic change: lotteries are more likely to be adopted and to be adopted earlier where the costs are lowest relative to expected benefit. State legislatures appear to be the main beneficiaries of this public choice process. Copyright 1994 by Kluwer Academic Publishers

Suggested Citation

  • Jackson, John D & Saurman, David S & Shughart, William F, II, 1994. "Instant Winners: Legal Change in Transition and the Diffusion of State Lotteries," Public Choice, Springer, vol. 80(3-4), pages 245-263, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:kap:pubcho:v:80:y:1994:i:3-4:p:245-63
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    Cited by:

    1. Frankling Mixon & Len Trevino & Angel Bales, 2004. "Just-below Princing Strategies in the Music Industry: Empirical Evidence," International Journal of the Economics of Business, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 11(2), pages 165-174.
    2. Kent Grote & Victor Matheson, 2011. "The Economics of Lotteries: A Survey of the Literature," Working Papers 1109, College of the Holy Cross, Department of Economics.
    3. Levi Pérez & à lvaro Muñiz, 2021. "The income elasticity of lottery revisited: a worldwide perspective," Economics and Business Letters, Oviedo University Press, vol. 10(4), pages 403-407.
    4. Lutter, Mark, 2011. "The adoption of lotteries in the United States, 1964 - 2007. A model of conditional and time-dynamical diffusion," MPIfG Discussion Paper 11/4, Max Planck Institute for the Study of Societies.
    5. William F. Shughart II & Josh T. Smith, 2020. "The broken bridge of public finance: majority rule, earmarked taxes and social engineering," Public Choice, Springer, vol. 183(3), pages 315-338, June.
    6. John L. Scott & Paul S. Nelson, 2007. "Voting with a Hand on the Bible and Not on the Wallet: The 1996 Video Poker Referendum in Louisiana," American Journal of Economics and Sociology, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 66(3), pages 571-591, July.
    7. Peter Calcagno & Douglas Walker & John Jackson, 2010. "Determinants of the probability and timing of commercial casino legalization in the United States," Public Choice, Springer, vol. 142(1), pages 69-90, January.
    8. Franklin Mixon & Steven Caudill & Jon Ford & Ter Peng, 1997. "The rise (or fall) of lottery adoption within the logic of collective action: Some empirical evidence," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 21(1), pages 43-49, March.
    9. Mark Thornton & Marc Ulrich, 1999. "Constituency Size and Government Spending," Public Finance Review, , vol. 27(6), pages 588-598, November.
    10. Will E. Cummings & Douglas M. Walker & Chad D. Cotti, 2017. "The Effect Of Casino Proximity On Lottery Sales: Evidence From Maryland," Contemporary Economic Policy, Western Economic Association International, vol. 35(4), pages 684-699, October.
    11. Kent Grote & Victor Matheson, 2011. "The Economics of Lotteries: An Annotated Bibliography," Working Papers 1110, College of the Holy Cross, Department of Economics.
    12. Douglas M. Walker & John D. Jackson, 2008. "Do U.S. Gambling Industries Cannibalize Each Other?," Public Finance Review, , vol. 36(3), pages 308-333, May.
    13. A. Frank Adams & Robert B. Ekelund & John D. Jackson, 2003. "Occupational Licensing of a Credence Good: The Regulation of Midwifery," Southern Economic Journal, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 69(3), pages 659-675, January.
    14. Julie Smith, 1999. "Australian Gambling Taxation," CEPR Discussion Papers 402, Centre for Economic Policy Research, Research School of Economics, Australian National University.

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