IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/kap/ecopln/v31y1998i1p29-55.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Exchange Rate, Inflation and Unemployment in East European Economies: The Case of Poland and Hungary

Author

Listed:
  • Golinelli, Roberto
  • Orsi, Renzo

Abstract

The aim of the paper is to model the impact of exchange rate on both inflation and unemployment variables in economies which are characterized by important structural changes, i.e., a transition phase moving from centralized economies towards market economies. This phenomenon, which is common to the East European countries, stressed different effects both for what concerns the behaviour of economic agents and for what concerns fiscal and monetary measures adopted by governments and aiming to keep under control the inflation-unemployment trade off. Time series relationships between these variables are investigated within an econometric model. Economic theory and the available data on the hypothetically relevant variables, along with the consideration of the main facts occurred in the period under study, characterize our information set. It is found that single equation analysis yields inefficient inference relative to the whole system analysis, and important structural changes are detected which reflect possible breaks in the structure of the economic system along with a change in economic policy. Copyright 1998 by Kluwer Academic Publishers

Suggested Citation

  • Golinelli, Roberto & Orsi, Renzo, 1998. "Exchange Rate, Inflation and Unemployment in East European Economies: The Case of Poland and Hungary," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 31(1), pages 29-55.
    • Handle: RePEc:kap:ecopln:v:31:y:1998:i:1:p:29-55
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://journals.kluweronline.com/issn/0013-0451/contents
    File Function: link to full text
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to look for a different version below or search for a different version of it.

    Other versions of this item:

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Qizilbash, M., 1994. "Decisions and moral character," Discussion Paper Series In Economics And Econometrics 9417, Economics Division, School of Social Sciences, University of Southampton.
    2. Vesna BUCEVSKA, 2010. "A Macroeconometric Model for the Republic of Macedonia," EcoMod2004 330600030, EcoMod.
    3. Tihomir Enev & Kenneth Koford, 2000. "The Effect of Incomes Policies on Inflation in Bulgaria and Poland," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 33(3), pages 141-169, October.
    4. Jesús Crespo Cuaresma & Jaroslava Hlouskova, 2005. "Beating the random walk in Central and Eastern Europe," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 24(3), pages 189-201.
    5. Erjavec, Natasa, 2003. "Applied macroeconometrics in transition economy: Croatian experience," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 23444, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    6. Marcellino, Massimiliano & Mizon, Grayham E., 2000. "Modelling shifts in the wage-price and unemployment-inflation relationships in Italy, Poland and the UK," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 17(3), pages 387-413, August.
    7. Marcellino, Massimiliano & Mizon, Grayham E., 2000. "Modelling shifts in the wage-price and unemployment-inflation relationships in Italy, Poland and the UK," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 17(3), pages 387-413, August.
    8. Mateos-Planas, X., 1998. "Education, technology adoption and productivity," Discussion Paper Series In Economics And Econometrics 9817, Economics Division, School of Social Sciences, University of Southampton.
    9. Chiarini, B., 1993. "Persistence, comovement and common trends: an empirical study of disaggregated Italian output and labour input," Discussion Paper Series In Economics And Econometrics 9317, Economics Division, School of Social Sciences, University of Southampton.
    10. Sujoy Mukerji, 1996. "Understanding the nonadditive probability decision model (*)," Economic Theory, Springer;Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory (SAET), vol. 9(1), pages 23-46.
    11. Hendricks, K. & Piccione, M. & Tan, G., 1997. "Equilibria in networks," Discussion Paper Series In Economics And Econometrics 9717, Economics Division, School of Social Sciences, University of Southampton.
    12. Mohieldin, M. & Wahba, J., 1996. "The Urguay Round and trade in financial services in the Arab countries," Discussion Paper Series In Economics And Econometrics 9617, Economics Division, School of Social Sciences, University of Southampton.
    13. Sola, M. & Ravn, M.O., 1992. "The use of recursive variance plots: a note," Discussion Paper Series In Economics And Econometrics 9217, Economics Division, School of Social Sciences, University of Southampton.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:kap:ecopln:v:31:y:1998:i:1:p:29-55. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.