IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/jfr/ijfr11/v10y2019i1p17-22.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Chaotic Behavior in Exchange Rate

Author

Listed:
  • Melike E. Bildirici
  • Bahri Sonustun

Abstract

In this paper, we aim to analyze the chaotic structure of the daily Euro/USD parity. The examined data covers the period of 01/01/2004 and 03/04/2018. In this context firstly, to determine chaotic behavior of daily Euro/USD rates, the BDS test was used. And following, the chaotic behavior was examined by Largest Lyapunov Exponents (LLE) and Henon Map methods. The results proved the existence of chaotic structure in the data.

Suggested Citation

  • Melike E. Bildirici & Bahri Sonustun, 2019. "Chaotic Behavior in Exchange Rate," International Journal of Financial Research, International Journal of Financial Research, Sciedu Press, vol. 10(1), pages 17-22, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:jfr:ijfr11:v:10:y:2019:i:1:p:17-22
    DOI: 10.5430/ijfr.v10n1p17
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciedu.ca/journal/index.php/ijfr/article/view/14663/9016
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: http://www.sciedu.ca/journal/index.php/ijfr/article/view/14663
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.5430/ijfr.v10n1p17?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. John Francis Diaz & Jo-Hui Chen, 2017. "Testing for Long-memory and Chaos in the Returns of Currency Exchange-traded Notes (ETNs)," Journal of Applied Finance & Banking, SCIENPRESS Ltd, vol. 7(4), pages 1-2.
    2. Paul De Grauwe & Isabel Vansteenkiste, 2014. "Exchange Rates and Fundamentals: A Non-Linear Relationship?," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Exchange Rates and Global Financial Policies, chapter 5, pages 159-187, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    3. Alves, P.R.L. & Duarte, L.G.S. & da Mota, L.A.C.P., 2018. "Detecting chaos and predicting in Dow Jones Index," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 110(C), pages 232-238.
    4. Day, Richard H, 1982. "Irregular Growth Cycles," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 72(3), pages 406-414, June.
    5. Amir D. Aczel & Norman H. Josephy, 1991. "The Chaotic Behavior of Foreign Exchange Rates," The American Economist, Sage Publications, vol. 35(2), pages 16-24, October.
    6. John Barkoulas & Nickolaos Travlos, 1998. "Chaos in an emerging capital market? The case of the Athens Stock Exchange," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 8(3), pages 231-243.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Marisa Faggini, 2011. "Chaotic Time Series Analysis in Economics: Balance and Perspectives," Working papers 25, Former Department of Economics and Public Finance "G. Prato", University of Torino.
    2. Viktor Avrutin & Iryna Sushko & Fabio Tramontana, 2014. "Bifurcation Structure in a Bimodal Piecewise Linear Business Cycle Model," Abstract and Applied Analysis, Hindawi, vol. 2014, pages 1-12, November.
    3. Dimitrios Varvarigos, 2020. "Cultural Transmission, Education-Promoting Attitudes, and Economic Development," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 37, pages 173-194, July.
    4. Vesna D. Jablanovic, 2013. "The Nonlinear Real Exchange Rate Growth Model," Indian Journal of Commerce and Management Studies, Educational Research Multimedia & Publications,India, vol. 4(2), pages 12-15, May.
    5. Gomes, Orlando, 2008. "Too much of a good thing: Endogenous business cycles generated by bounded technological progress," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 25(5), pages 933-945, September.
    6. Kal, Süleyman Hilmi & Arslaner, Ferhat & Arslaner, Nuran, 2015. "The dynamic relationship between stock, bond and foreign exchange markets," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 39(4), pages 592-607.
    7. Michele Boldrin, 1988. "Persistent Oscillations and Chaos in Dynamic Economic Models: Notes for a Survey," UCLA Economics Working Papers 458A, UCLA Department of Economics.
    8. Nishimura, Kazuo & Yano, Makoto, 1995. "Durable capital and chaos in competitive business cycles," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 27(2), pages 165-181, July.
    9. A. Corcos & J-P Eckmann & A. Malaspinas & Y. Malevergne & D. Sornette, 2002. "Imitation and contrarian behaviour: hyperbolic bubbles, crashes and chaos," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 2(4), pages 264-281.
    10. Theodore Panagiotidis, 2010. "Market efficiency and the Euro: the case of the Athens stock exchange," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 37(3), pages 237-251, July.
    11. Tramontana, Fabio & Gardini, Laura & Agliari, Anna, 2011. "Endogenous cycles in discontinuous growth models," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 81(8), pages 1625-1639.
    12. John Barkoulas & Christopher Baum & Nickolaos Travlos, 2000. "Long memory in the Greek stock market," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 10(2), pages 177-184.
    13. Mulligan, Robert F., 2004. "Fractal analysis of highly volatile markets: an application to technology equities," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 44(1), pages 155-179, February.
    14. Paul De Grauwe & Marianna Grimaldi, 2014. "Heterogeneity of Agents, Transactions Costs and the Exchange Rate," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Exchange Rates and Global Financial Policies, chapter 2, pages 33-70, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    15. Kian-Ping Lim & Venus Khim-Sen Liew & Hock-Tsen Wong, 2003. "Weak-form Efficient Market Hypothesis, Behavioural Finance and Episodic Transient Dependencies: The Case of the Kuala Lumpur Stock Exchange," Finance 0312012, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    16. Josh Stillwagon & Peter Sullivan, 2020. "Markov switching in exchange rate models: will more regimes help?," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 59(1), pages 413-436, July.
    17. Huang, Weihong, 1995. "Caution implies profit," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 27(2), pages 257-277, July.
    18. Hallegatte, Stéphane & Ghil, Michael, 2008. "Natural disasters impacting a macroeconomic model with endogenous dynamics," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 68(1-2), pages 582-592, December.
    19. Jozef Baruník, 2008. "How Do Neural Networks Enhance the Predictability of Central European Stock Returns?," Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, vol. 58(07-08), pages 358-376, Oktober.
    20. Tramontana, F. & Gardini, L. & Ferri, P., 2010. "The dynamics of the NAIRU model with two switching regimes," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 34(4), pages 681-695, April.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:jfr:ijfr11:v:10:y:2019:i:1:p:17-22. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Gina Perry (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://ijfr.sciedupress.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.