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OR Forum---Intelligence Operations Research: The 2010 Philip McCord Morse Lecture

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  • Edward H. Kaplan

    (Yale School of Management, Yale School of Public Health, Yale School of Engineering and Applied Science, Yale University, New Haven, Connecticut 06520)

Abstract

This paper is the archival record of the INFORMS Philip McCord Morse Lecture delivered in 2010. It considers applications of operations research to intelligence problems in national security and counterterrorism. The phrase “intelligence operations research” can be interpreted in two different ways: as intelligence operations } research, meaning studies to characterize and improve the operations of intelligence agencies themselves, and as intelligence operations research , meaning the application of operations research methods to specific substantive intelligence problems. After defining intelligence, I review the intelligence production process (or the intelligence cycle ) with reference to the intelligence community of the United States. I then consider the extent to which operations research has been deployed inside this intelligence community and summarize previous attempts to apply operations research methods to intelligence problems. I close with some suggestions for future intelligence operations research studies.

Suggested Citation

  • Edward H. Kaplan, 2012. "OR Forum---Intelligence Operations Research: The 2010 Philip McCord Morse Lecture," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 60(6), pages 1297-1309, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:inm:oropre:v:60:y:2012:i:6:p:1297-1309
    DOI: 10.1287/opre.1120.1059
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    8. Philip M. Morse, 1956. "Statistics and Operations Research," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 4(1), pages 2-18, February.
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    Cited by:

    1. Jaspersen, Johannes G. & Montibeller, Gilberto, 2020. "On the learning patterns and adaptive behavior of terrorist organizations," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 282(1), pages 221-234.
    2. Zhankun Sun & Nilay Tan?k Argon & Serhan Ziya, 2018. "Patient Triage and Prioritization Under Austere Conditions," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 64(10), pages 4471-4489, October.
    3. David Simchi-Levi & Nikolaos Trichakis & Peter Yun Zhang, 2019. "Designing Response Supply Chain Against Bioattacks," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 67(5), pages 1246-1268, September.
    4. Sushil Gupta & Martin K. Starr & Reza Zanjirani Farahani & Mahsa Mahboob Ghodsi, 2020. "Prevention of Terrorism–An Assessment of Prior POM Work and Future Potentials," Production and Operations Management, Production and Operations Management Society, vol. 29(7), pages 1789-1815, July.
    5. Ben Hermans & Herbert Hamers & Roel Leus & Roy Lindelauf, 2019. "Timely exposure of a secret project: Which activities to monitor?," Naval Research Logistics (NRL), John Wiley & Sons, vol. 66(6), pages 451-468, September.
    6. Christopher M. Smith & William T. Scherer & Stephen Carr, 2016. "Value of intelligence applied to networks," Environment Systems and Decisions, Springer, vol. 36(1), pages 85-91, March.

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