IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/inm/ormsom/v14y2012i2p170-185.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Capacity Planning in the Semiconductor Industry: Dual-Mode Procurement with Options

Author

Listed:
  • Chen Peng

    (Management Science and Engineering, Stanford University, Stanford, California 94305)

  • Feryal Erhun

    (Management Science and Engineering, Stanford University, Stanford, California 94305)

  • Erik F. Hertzler

    (Intel Corporation, Chandler, Arizona 85226)

  • Karl G. Kempf

    (Intel Corporation, Chandler, Arizona 85226)

Abstract

To help a firm reduce inefficiencies associated with equipment capacity planning, we propose a dual-mode equipment procurement (DMEP) framework. DMEP combines dual-source (i.e., a less-expensive-but-slower base mode and a faster-but-more-expensive flexible mode) procurement with option contracts in three layers: a contract negotiation layer, where the firm chooses the best combination of lead time and price for each mode from the supply contract menu; a capacity reservation layer, where the firm reserves total equipment procurement quantities from the two supply modes before the planning horizon starts; and an execution layer, where the firm orders equipment from the two supply modes based on the updated demand information. We first investigate the execution layer as a dynamic dual-source capacity expansion problem with demand backlogging and demonstrate that the optimal policy lacks structure even under the simplest setting. Thus, we propose a heuristic solution for the execution-layer problem, which also serves as a building block for the other two layers. Through numerical analysis, we quantify the value of the added flexibility of DMEP for the firm. The DMEP framework has been implemented at Intel Corporation and has resulted in savings of tens of millions of dollars for one process technology.

Suggested Citation

  • Chen Peng & Feryal Erhun & Erik F. Hertzler & Karl G. Kempf, 2012. "Capacity Planning in the Semiconductor Industry: Dual-Mode Procurement with Options," Manufacturing & Service Operations Management, INFORMS, vol. 14(2), pages 170-185, April.
  • Handle: RePEc:inm:ormsom:v:14:y:2012:i:2:p:170-185
    DOI: 10.1287/msom.1110.0361
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.1287/msom.1110.0361
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1287/msom.1110.0361?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. S. David Wu & Karl G. Kempf & Mehmet O. Atan & Berrin Aytac & Shamin A. Shirodkar & Asima Mishra, 2010. "Improving New-Product Forecasting at Intel Corporation," Interfaces, INFORMS, vol. 40(5), pages 385-396, October.
    2. Friend, Irwin & Blume, Marshall E, 1975. "The Demand for Risky Assets," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 65(5), pages 900-922, December.
    3. Liming Liu & Mahmut Parlar & Stuart X. Zhu, 2007. "Pricing and Lead Time Decisions in Decentralized Supply Chains," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 53(5), pages 713-725, May.
    4. Entriken, Robert & Infanger, Gerd, 1990. "5.2 Decomposition and importance sampling for stochastic linear models," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 15(7), pages 645-659.
    5. Karen L. Donohue, 2000. "Efficient Supply Contracts for Fashion Goods with Forecast Updating and Two Production Modes," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 46(11), pages 1397-1411, November.
    6. Warren H. Hausman, 1969. "Sequential Decision Problems: A Model to Exploit Existing Forecasters," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 16(2), pages 93-111, October.
    7. Corey Billington & Blake Johnson & Alex Triantis, 2002. "A Real Options Perspective On Supply Chain Management In High Technology1," Journal of Applied Corporate Finance, Morgan Stanley, vol. 15(2), pages 32-43, December.
    8. Qian Liu & Garrett van Ryzin, 2011. "Strategic Capacity Rationing when Customers Learn," Manufacturing & Service Operations Management, INFORMS, vol. 13(1), pages 89-107, September.
    9. Jan A. Van Mieghem, 2003. "Commissioned Paper: Capacity Management, Investment, and Hedging: Review and Recent Developments," Manufacturing & Service Operations Management, INFORMS, vol. 5(4), pages 269-302, July.
    10. Xiuli Chao & Hong Chen & Shaohui Zheng, 2009. "Dynamic Capacity Expansion for a Service Firm with Capacity Deterioration and Supply Uncertainty," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 57(1), pages 82-93, February.
    11. Morris A. Cohen & Teck H. Ho & Z. Justin Ren & Christian Terwiesch, 2003. "Measuring Imputed Cost in the Semiconductor Equipment Supply Chain," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 49(12), pages 1653-1670, December.
    12. Gary D. Eppen & Ananth. V. Iyer, 1997. "Improved Fashion Buying with Bayesian Updates," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 45(6), pages 805-819, December.
    13. Qi Feng & Suresh P. Sethi & Houmin Yan & Hanqin Zhang, 2006. "Are Base-Stock Policies Optimal in Inventory Problems with Multiple Delivery Modes?," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 54(4), pages 801-807, August.
    14. Özalp Özer & Wei Wei, 2006. "Strategic Commitments for an Optimal Capacity Decision Under Asymmetric Forecast Information," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 52(8), pages 1238-1257, August.
    15. Marshall Fisher & Ananth Raman, 1996. "Reducing the Cost of Demand Uncertainty Through Accurate Response to Early Sales," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 44(1), pages 87-99, February.
    16. Yoichiro Fukuda, 1964. "Optimal Policies for the Inventory Problem with Negotiable Leadtime," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 10(4), pages 690-708, July.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Karl G. Kempf & Feryal Erhun & Erik F. Hertzler & Timothy R. Rosenberg & Chen Peng, 2013. "Optimizing Capital Investment Decisions at Intel Corporation," Interfaces, INFORMS, vol. 43(1), pages 62-78, February.
    2. Mohammadivojdan, Roshanak & Merzifonluoglu, Yasemin & Geunes, Joseph, 2022. "Procurement portfolio planning for a newsvendor with supplier delivery uncertainty," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 297(3), pages 917-929.
    3. Jian Yang & Jichang Dong & Suixiang Gao & Guoqing Wang, 2023. "Blockchain-Based Long-Term Capacity Planning for Semiconductor Supply Chain Manufacturers," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(6), pages 1-20, March.
    4. Svoboda, Josef & Minner, Stefan & Yao, Man, 2021. "Typology and literature review on multiple supplier inventory control models," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 293(1), pages 1-23.
    5. Joris Wagenaar & Ioannis Fragkos & Rob Zuidwijk, 2021. "Integrated Planning for Multimodal Networks with Disruptions and Customer Service Requirements," Transportation Science, INFORMS, vol. 55(1), pages 196-221, 1-2.
    6. Merzifonluoglu, Yasemin, 2017. "Integrated demand and procurement portfolio management with spot market volatility and option contracts," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 258(1), pages 181-192.
    7. Gah-Yi Ban & Jérémie Gallien & Adam J. Mersereau, 2019. "Dynamic Procurement of New Products with Covariate Information: The Residual Tree Method," Manufacturing & Service Operations Management, INFORMS, vol. 21(4), pages 798-815, October.
    8. Wagner, Stephan M. & Grosse-Ruyken, Pan Theo & Erhun, Feryal, 2018. "Determinants of sourcing flexibility and its impact on performance," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 205(C), pages 329-341.
    9. Hongmin Li & Dieter Armbruster & Karl G. Kempf, 2013. "A Population-Growth Model for Multiple Generations of Technology Products," Manufacturing & Service Operations Management, INFORMS, vol. 15(3), pages 343-360, July.
    10. Hua, Shengya & Liu, Jingchen & Cheng, T.C.E. & Zhai, Xin, 2019. "Financing and ordering strategies for a supply chain under the option contract," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 208(C), pages 100-121.
    11. Wiedenmann, Susanne & Geldermann, Jutta, 2015. "Supply planning for processors of agricultural raw materials," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 242(2), pages 606-619.
    12. Wu, Xiaole & Kouvelis, Panos & Matsuo, Hirofumi & Sano, Hiroki, 2014. "Horizontal coordinating contracts in the semiconductor industry," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 237(3), pages 887-897.
    13. Wei Zhang & Sriram Dasu & Reza Ahmadi, 2017. "Higher Prices for Larger Quantities? Nonmonotonic Price–Quantity Relations in B2B Markets," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 63(7), pages 2108-2126, July.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Karl G. Kempf & Feryal Erhun & Erik F. Hertzler & Timothy R. Rosenberg & Chen Peng, 2013. "Optimizing Capital Investment Decisions at Intel Corporation," Interfaces, INFORMS, vol. 43(1), pages 62-78, February.
    2. Choi, Tsan-Ming, 2007. "Pre-season stocking and pricing decisions for fashion retailers with multiple information updating," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 106(1), pages 146-170, March.
    3. Choi, Tsan-Ming & Sethi, Suresh, 2010. "Innovative quick response programs: A review," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 127(1), pages 1-12, September.
    4. Juzhi Zhang & Tsan‐Ming Choi & T. C. E. Cheng, 2020. "Stochastic production capacity: A bane or a boon for quick response supply chains?," Naval Research Logistics (NRL), John Wiley & Sons, vol. 67(2), pages 126-146, March.
    5. Oded Berman & Mohammad M. Fazel-Zarandi & Dmitry Krass, 2019. "Truthful Cheap Talk: Why Operational Flexibility May Lead to Truthful Communication," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 65(4), pages 1624-1641, April.
    6. Jiahua Zhang & Lian Qi & Shilu Tong, 2021. "Dynamic Contract under Quick Response in a Supply Chain with Information Asymmetry," Production and Operations Management, Production and Operations Management Society, vol. 30(5), pages 1273-1289, May.
    7. Zhu, Stuart X., 2015. "Dynamic replenishment from two sources with different yields, costs, and leadtimes," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 165(C), pages 79-89.
    8. Vaagen, Hajnalka & Wallace, Stein W., 2008. "Product variety arising from hedging in the fashion supply chains," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 114(2), pages 431-455, August.
    9. DeYong, Gregory D. & Cattani, Kyle D., 2012. "Well adjusted: Using expediting and cancelation to manage store replenishment inventory for a seasonal good," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 220(1), pages 93-105.
    10. Anyan Qi & Hyun-Soo Ahn & Amitabh Sinha, 2017. "Capacity Investment with Demand Learning," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 65(1), pages 145-164, February.
    11. Hung, Yick-Hin & Li, Leon Y.O. & Cheng, T.C.E., 2011. "Trading reserved capacity independently among supply chains," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 133(1), pages 105-112, September.
    12. Tong Wang & Atalay Atasu & Mümin Kurtuluş, 2012. "A Multiordering Newsvendor Model with Dynamic Forecast Evolution," Manufacturing & Service Operations Management, INFORMS, vol. 14(3), pages 472-484, July.
    13. Au, Kin-Fan & Choi, Tsan-Ming & Yu, Yong, 2008. "Fashion retail forecasting by evolutionary neural networks," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 114(2), pages 615-630, August.
    14. Anyan Qi & Hyun-Soo Ahn & Amitabh Sinha, 2017. "Capacity Investment with Demand Learning," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 65(1), pages 145-164, February.
    15. Zhu, Stuart X., 2015. "Analysis of dual sourcing strategies under supply disruptions," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 170(PA), pages 191-203.
    16. Julia Miyaoka & Warren H. Hausman, 2008. "How Improved Forecasts Can Degrade Decentralized Supply Chains," Manufacturing & Service Operations Management, INFORMS, vol. 10(3), pages 547-562, July.
    17. Yang, Daojian & Qi, Ershi & Li, Yajiao, 2015. "Quick response and supply chain structure with strategic consumers," Omega, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 1-14.
    18. Ozer, Ozalp & Uncu, Onur & Wei, Wei, 2007. "Selling to the "Newsvendor" with a forecast update: Analysis of a dual purchase contract," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 182(3), pages 1150-1176, November.
    19. Dina Smirnov & Yale T. Herer & Assaf Avrahami, 2021. "Two‐Phase Newsvendor with Optimally Timed Additional Replenishment: Model, Algorithm, Case Study," Production and Operations Management, Production and Operations Management Society, vol. 30(9), pages 2871-2889, September.
    20. Sechan Oh & Özalp Özer, 2013. "Mechanism Design for Capacity Planning Under Dynamic Evolutions of Asymmetric Demand Forecasts," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 59(4), pages 987-1007, April.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:inm:ormsom:v:14:y:2012:i:2:p:170-185. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Chris Asher (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/inforea.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.