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Examining the Asymmetric Impact of COVID-19 Pandemic and Global Financial Crisis on Dow Jones and Oil Price Shock

Author

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  • Khurram Shehzad

    (School of Economics and Management, Southeast University, Nanjing 210096, China)

  • Umer Zaman

    (Endicott College of International Studies, Woosong University, Daejeon 34606, Korea)

  • Xiaoxing Liu

    (School of Economics and Management, Southeast University, Nanjing 210096, China)

  • Jarosław Górecki

    (Faculty of Civil and Environmental Engineering, and Architecture, UTP University of Science and Technology, 85-796 Bydgoszcz, Poland)

  • Carlo Pugnetti

    (School of Management and Law, Zurich University of Applied Sciences, 8401 Winterthur, Switzerland)

Abstract

COVID-19 has significantly affected the financial and commodity markets. The purpose of this investigation is to understand the impact of the COVID-19 crisis on Dow Jones and West Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil returns in relation to other crises using the Exponential Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (EGARCH) model. The results indicate that COVID-19 and the accompanying lockdown have adversely impacted both yields and that the impact on oil prices is more significant than on the Dow Jones index. The variance and squared residuals of oil prices and the Dow Jones reached their highest historical levels during the COVID-19 outbreak, even higher than during the global financial crisis, and especially the VaR of both markets reached their historical peak points during the COVID-19 era. The variance of WTI during COVID-19 is higher than that of DJI, as was also the case during the financial crisis. These findings confirm that COVID-19 has negatively impacted investors’ ability to determine optimal portfolios and thus the sustainability of financial and energy markets more than the global financial crisis of 2007–2009. We, therefore, suggest that policy changes are needed to maintain financial sustainability and help investors deal with future financial and other crises.

Suggested Citation

  • Khurram Shehzad & Umer Zaman & Xiaoxing Liu & Jarosław Górecki & Carlo Pugnetti, 2021. "Examining the Asymmetric Impact of COVID-19 Pandemic and Global Financial Crisis on Dow Jones and Oil Price Shock," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(9), pages 1-13, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:13:y:2021:i:9:p:4688-:d:541448
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    Cited by:

    1. Ben Salem, Leila & Nouira, Ridha & Jeguirim, Khaled & Rault, Christophe, 2022. "The determinants of crude oil prices: Evidence from ARDL and nonlinear ARDL approaches," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    2. Krzysztof Dmytrów & Joanna Landmesser & Beata Bieszk-Stolorz, 2021. "The Connections between COVID-19 and the Energy Commodities Prices: Evidence through the Dynamic Time Warping Method," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(13), pages 1-23, July.
    3. Beata Bieszk-Stolorz & Iwona Markowicz, 2021. "Decline in Share Prices of Energy and Fuel Companies on the Warsaw Stock Exchange as a Reaction to the COVID-19 Pandemic," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(17), pages 1-17, August.
    4. Krzysztof Echaust & Małgorzata Just, 2021. "Tail Dependence between Crude Oil Volatility Index and WTI Oil Price Movements during the COVID-19 Pandemic," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(14), pages 1-21, July.
    5. Marina V. Vasiljeva & Vadim V. Ponkratov & Larisa A. Vatutina & Maria V. Volkova & Marina I. Ivleva & Elena V. Romanenko & Nikolay V. Kuznetsov & Nadezhda N. Semenova & Elena F. Kireeva & Dmitrii K. G, 2022. "Crude Oil Market Functioning and Sustainable Development Goals: Case of OPEC++-Participating Countries," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(8), pages 1-23, April.
    6. Khan, Khalid & Su, Chi-Wei & Khurshid, Adnan & Umar, Muhammad, 2022. "COVID-19 impact on multifractality of energy prices: Asymmetric multifractality analysis," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 256(C).
    7. Tuna, Gülfen & Tuna, Vedat Ender, 2022. "Are effects of COVID-19 pandemic on financial markets permanent or temporary? Evidence from gold, oil and stock markets," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
    8. Chang, Lei & Baloch, Zulfiqar Ali & Saydaliev, Hayot Berk & Hyder, Mansoor & Dilanchiev, Azer, 2022. "Testing oil price volatility during Covid-19: Global economic impact," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    9. Shehzad, Khurram & Bilgili, Faik & Zaman, Umer & Kocak, Emrah & Kuskaya, Sevda, 2021. "Is gold favourable than bitcoin during the COVID-19 outbreak? Comparative analysis through wavelet approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    10. Zeravan Abdulmuhsen Asaad & Amjad Saber Al-Delawi & Omed Rafiq Fatah & Awaz Mohamed Saleem, 2023. "Oil Exports, Political Issues, and Stock Market Nexus," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 13(1), pages 362-373, January.
    11. Liu, Xiaoxing & Shehzad, Khurram & Kocak, Emrah & Zaman, Umer, 2022. "Dynamic correlations and portfolio implications across stock and commodity markets before and during the COVID-19 era: A key role of gold," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    12. Zeravan Abdulmuhsen Asaad & Amjad Saber Al-Delawi, 2022. "Iraqi Stock Exchange Reactions to the Oil price, Covid-19 Aftermath, and the Saudi Stock Exchange Movements pre-during Vaccination Program," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 12(5), pages 18-30, September.

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