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Breaks and Convergence in U.S. Regional Crime Rates: Analysis of Their Presence and Implications

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  • Steve Cook

    ()
    (School of Management, Swansea University, Singleton Park, Swansea SA2 8PP, UK)

  • Duncan Watson

    (School of Economics, University of East Anglia, Norwich NR4 7TJ, UK)

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    Abstract

    The literature examining the relative properties of U.S. regional crime rates is extended. Using a novel method, convergence in alternative classifications of crime is detected over the period 1965 to 2009. Subsequent statistical analysis identifies distinct epochs in the evolution of crime which match those noted anecdotally in the literature. The findings concerning convergence within these epochs prove interesting, with results found to vary both between the alternative crime classifications and through time. In particular, evidence of divergence is noted which contrasts starkly with other results for earlier and later periods. Potential explanations for the observed results, their importance for policy and their implications for theory and future research are discussed.

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    Bibliographic Info

    Article provided by MDPI, Open Access Journal in its journal Social Sciences.

    Volume (Year): 2 (2013)
    Issue (Month): 3 (August)
    Pages: 180-190

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    Handle: RePEc:gam:jscscx:v:2:y:2013:i:3:p:180-190:d:28208

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    Related research

    Keywords: crime; convergence; breaks;

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    1. Jens Otto Ludwig, 1998. "Concealed-Gun-Carrying Laws and Violent Crime: Evidence from State Panel Data," JCPR Working Papers 31, Northwestern University/University of Chicago Joint Center for Poverty Research.
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    13. Drennan, Matthew P. & Lobo, Jose, 1999. "A Simple Test for Convergence of Metropolitan Income in the United States," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 46(3), pages 350-359, November.
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    18. S. Cook & C. Thomas, 2003. "An alternative approach to examining the ripple effect in UK house prices," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 10(13), pages 849-851.
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