IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jrisks/v10y2022i3p61-d766857.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Determining Financial Uncertainty through the Dynamics of Sukuk Bonds and Prices in Emerging Market Indices

Author

Listed:
  • Muhammad Safdar Sial

    (Department of Management Sciences, COMSATS University Islamabad (CUI), Islamabad 44000, Pakistan)

  • Jacob Cherian

    (College of Business, Abu Dhabi University, Abu Dhabi P.O. Box 59911, United Arab Emirates)

  • Abdelrhman Meero

    (College of Business Administration, Kingdom University, Riffa 40434, Bahrain)

  • Asma Salman

    (College of Business Administration, American University in the Emirates, Dubai P.O. Box 503000, United Arab Emirates)

  • Abdul Aziz Abdul Rahman

    (College of Business Administration, Kingdom University, Riffa 40434, Bahrain)

  • Sarminah Samad

    (Department of Business Administration, College of Business and Administration, Princess Nourah Bint Abdulrahman University, Riyadh 11671, Saudi Arabia)

  • Constantin Viorel Negrut

    (Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, West University of Timisoara, 300006 Timisoara, Romania)

Abstract

The main focus of the study is to determine the financial uncertainty while examining the Sukuk bonds prices, Sukuk bond and global emerging market indices returns dynamics. The study, with a time period ranging from 2017 to 2020, applies the quantile regression technique. The study findings show that evidence of co-moment exists between the global emerging market index and Sukuk bond price returns, except the one. There is no impact of the financial uncertainty indicator reflected by the global volatility index (VIX) on the Sukuk index returns, and even this impact is negative for (VXEEM). The causal impact among the global emerging and Sukuk bond markets will help formulate future trading strategies in particular to Islamic bond markets.

Suggested Citation

  • Muhammad Safdar Sial & Jacob Cherian & Abdelrhman Meero & Asma Salman & Abdul Aziz Abdul Rahman & Sarminah Samad & Constantin Viorel Negrut, 2022. "Determining Financial Uncertainty through the Dynamics of Sukuk Bonds and Prices in Emerging Market Indices," Risks, MDPI, vol. 10(3), pages 1-13, March.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jrisks:v:10:y:2022:i:3:p:61-:d:766857
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2227-9091/10/3/61/pdf
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2227-9091/10/3/61/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Mahfuzur Rahman & Che Ruhana Isa & Teng-Tsai Tu & Moniruzzaman Sarker & Md. Abdul Kaium Masud, 2020. "A bibliometric analysis of socially responsible investment sukuk literature," Asian Journal of Sustainability and Social Responsibility, Springer, vol. 5(1), pages 1-19, December.
    2. Godlewski, Christophe J. & Turk-Ariss, Rima & Weill, Laurent, 2013. "Sukuk vs. conventional bonds: A stock market perspective," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 41(3), pages 745-761.
    3. Byeongju Jeong, 2002. "Policy Uncertainty and Long-Run Investment and Output across Countries," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 43(2), pages 363-392, May.
    4. Aloui, Chaker & Hammoudeh, Shawkat & Hamida, Hela Ben, 2015. "Co-movement between sharia stocks and sukuk in the GCC markets: A time-frequency analysis," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 34(C), pages 69-79.
    5. Shin, Dongheon & Kim, Baeho, 2015. "Liquidity and credit risk before and after the global financial crisis: Evidence from the Korean corporate bond market," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 38-61.
    6. Ms. Faezeh Raei & Mr. Selim Cakir, 2007. "Sukuk vs. Eurobonds: Is There a Difference in Value-at-Risk?," IMF Working Papers 2007/237, International Monetary Fund.
    7. Mabruk Billah & Faruk Balli & Hatice Ozer Balli, 2022. "Spillovers on sectoral sukuk returns: evidence from country level analysis," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 54(38), pages 4402-4432, August.
    8. Jamshed Y. Uppal, Inayat Ullah Mangla, 2017. "Co-integration of Sukuk and Bond Yields - Evidence from Globally Placed Sukuk," Journal of Management Sciences, Geist Science, Iqra University, Faculty of Business Administration, vol. 4(1), pages 106-115, March.
    9. Doojin Ryu & Hyeyoen Kim & Heejin Yang, 2017. "Investor sentiment, trading behavior and stock returns," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(12), pages 826-830, July.
    10. Juan Carlos Reboredo & Nader Naifar, 2017. "Do Islamic Bond (Sukuk) Prices Reflect Financial and Policy Uncertainty? A Quantile Regression Approach," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 53(7), pages 1535-1546, July.
    11. Bird, Ron & Yeung, Danny, 2012. "How do investors react under uncertainty?," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 20(2), pages 310-327.
    12. repec:gei:journl:v:4:y:2017:i:1:p:126-135 is not listed on IDEAS
    13. Bansal, Naresh & Connolly, Robert A. & Stivers, Chris, 2014. "The Stock-Bond Return Relation, the Term Structure’s Slope, and Asset-Class Risk Dynamics," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 49(3), pages 699-724, June.
    14. Naifar, Nader & Hammoudeh, Shawkat, 2016. "Do global financial distress and uncertainties impact GCC and global sukuk return dynamics?," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 39(C), pages 57-69.
    15. Tarun Chordia, 2005. "An Empirical Analysis of Stock and Bond Market Liquidity," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 18(1), pages 85-129.
    16. Wang, Yizhong & Chen, Carl R. & Huang, Ying Sophie, 2014. "Economic policy uncertainty and corporate investment: Evidence from China," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 26(C), pages 227-243.
    17. Arundina, Tika & Azmi Omar, Mohd. & Kartiwi, Mira, 2015. "The predictive accuracy of Sukuk ratings; Multinomial Logistic and Neural Network inferences," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 34(C), pages 273-292.
    18. Buchinsky, Moshe, 1995. "Estimating the asymptotic covariance matrix for quantile regression models a Monte Carlo study," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 68(2), pages 303-338, August.
    19. Cremers, Martijn & Driessen, Joost & Maenhout, Pascal & Weinbaum, David, 2008. "Individual stock-option prices and credit spreads," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 32(12), pages 2706-2715, December.
    20. Mensi, Walid & Hammoudeh, Shawkat & Reboredo, Juan Carlos & Nguyen, Duc Khuong, 2014. "Do global factors impact BRICS stock markets? A quantile regression approach," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 19(C), pages 1-17.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Rini Cahyandari & Kalfin & Sukono & Sri Purwani & Dewi Ratnasari & Titin Herawati & Sutiono Mahdi, 2023. "The Development of Sharia Insurance and Its Future Sustainability in Risk Management: A Systematic Literature Review," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(10), pages 1-23, May.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Juan Carlos Reboredo & Nader Naifar, 2017. "Do Islamic Bond (Sukuk) Prices Reflect Financial and Policy Uncertainty? A Quantile Regression Approach," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 53(7), pages 1535-1546, July.
    2. Paltrinieri, Andrea & Hassan, Mohammad Kabir & Bahoo, Salman & Khan, Ashraf, 2023. "A bibliometric review of sukuk literature," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 897-918.
    3. Pirgaip, Burak & Arslan-Ayaydin, Özgür & Karan, Mehmet Baha, 2021. "Do Sukuk provide diversification benefits to conventional bond investors? Evidence from Turkey," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
    4. Balli, Faruk & Billah, Mabruk & Balli, Hatice Ozer & De Bruin, Anne, 2022. "Spillovers between Sukuks and Shariah-compliant equity markets," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    5. Billah, Mabruk & Elsayed, Ahmed H. & Hadhri, Sinda, 2023. "Asymmetric relationship between green bonds and Sukuk markets: The role of global risk factors," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    6. Naifar, Nader & Hammoudeh, Shawkat & Al dohaiman, Mohamed S., 2016. "Dependence structure between sukuk (Islamic bonds) and stock market conditions: An empirical analysis with Archimedean copulas," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 148-165.
    7. Naifar, Nader & Mroua, Mourad & Bahloul, Slah, 2017. "Do regional and global uncertainty factors affect differently the conventional bonds and sukuk? New evidence," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 65-74.
    8. Maghyereh, Aktham I. & Awartani, Basel, 2016. "Dynamic transmissions between Sukuk and bond markets," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 246-261.
    9. Shabir, Mohsin & Jiang, Ping & Bakhsh, Satar & Zhao, Zhongxiu, 2021. "Economic policy uncertainty and bank stability: Threshold effect of institutional quality and competition," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    10. Chaker Aloui & Rania Jammazi & Hela Ben Hamida, 2018. "Multivariate Co-movement Between Islamic Stock and Bond Markets Among the GCC: A Wavelet-Based View," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 52(2), pages 603-626, August.
    11. Ghlamallah, Ezzedine & Alexakis, Christos & Dowling, Michael & Piepenbrink, Anke, 2021. "The topics of Islamic economics and finance research," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 145-160.
    12. Umar, Zaghum & Riaz, Yasir & Shahab, Yasir & Teplova, Tamara, 2023. "Network connectedness of the term structure of yield curve and global Sukuks," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    13. Hassan, M. Kabir & Paltrinieri, Andrea & Dreassi, Alberto & Miani, Stefano & Sclip, Alex, 2018. "The determinants of co-movement dynamics between sukuk and conventional bonds," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 73-84.
    14. Saeed, Momna & Elnahass, Marwa & Izzeldin, Marwan & Tsionas, Mike, 2021. "Yield spread determinants of sukuk and conventional bonds," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 105(C).
    15. Arfaoui, Mongi & Chkili, Walid & Ben Rejeb, Aymen, 2022. "Asymmetric and dynamic links in GCC Sukuk-stocks: Implications for portfolio management before and during the COVID-19 pandemic," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 25(C).
    16. Zhao, Yan & Su, Kun, 2022. "Economic policy uncertainty and corporate financialization: Evidence from China," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    17. Li, Xiao-Ming, 2017. "New evidence on economic policy uncertainty and equity premium," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 46(PA), pages 41-56.
    18. Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain & Raza, Naveed & Balcilar, Mehmet & Ali, Sajid & Shahbaz, Muhammad, 2017. "Can economic policy uncertainty and investors sentiment predict commodities returns and volatility?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 208-218.
    19. Jamel Boukhatem, 2021. "Sukuk Market and Economic Welfare Nexus: A Partial Equilibrium Approach," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 11(3), pages 142-145.
    20. Khan, Abdullah & Rizvi, Syed Aun R. & Ali, Mohsin & Haroon, Omair, 2021. "A survey of Islamic finance research – Influences and influencers," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jrisks:v:10:y:2022:i:3:p:61-:d:766857. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.