IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jmathe/v10y2022i11p1943-d832497.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Wind Speed Prediction via Collaborative Filtering on Virtual Edge Expanding Graphs

Author

Listed:
  • Xiang Ying

    (College of Intelligence and Computing, Tianjin University, Tianjin 300072, China
    Tianjin Key Laboratory of Cognitive Computing and Application, Tianjin 300350, China
    Tianjin Key Laboratory of Advanced Networking, Tianjin 300350, China
    Tianjin International Engineering Institute, Tianjin University, Tianjin 300072, China)

  • Keke Zhao

    (Tianjin International Engineering Institute, Tianjin University, Tianjin 300072, China)

  • Zhiqiang Liu

    (College of Intelligence and Computing, Tianjin University, Tianjin 300072, China
    Tianjin Key Laboratory of Cognitive Computing and Application, Tianjin 300350, China
    Tianjin Key Laboratory of Advanced Networking, Tianjin 300350, China)

  • Jie Gao

    (College of Intelligence and Computing, Tianjin University, Tianjin 300072, China
    Tianjin Key Laboratory of Cognitive Computing and Application, Tianjin 300350, China
    Tianjin Key Laboratory of Advanced Networking, Tianjin 300350, China)

  • Dongxiao He

    (College of Intelligence and Computing, Tianjin University, Tianjin 300072, China)

  • Xuewei Li

    (College of Intelligence and Computing, Tianjin University, Tianjin 300072, China
    Tianjin Key Laboratory of Cognitive Computing and Application, Tianjin 300350, China
    Tianjin Key Laboratory of Advanced Networking, Tianjin 300350, China)

  • Wei Xiong

    (TCU School of Civil Engineering, Tianjin Chengjian University, Tianjin 300384, China)

Abstract

Accurate and stable wind speed prediction is crucial for the safe operation of large-scale wind power grid connections. Existing methods are typically limited to a certain fixed area when learning the information of the wind speed sequence, which cannot make full use of the spatiotemporal correlation of the wind speed sequence. To address this problem, in this paper we propose a new wind speed prediction method based on collaborative filtering against a virtual edge expansion graph structure in which virtual edges enrich the semantics that the graph can express. It is an effective extension of the dataset, connecting wind turbines of different wind farms through virtual edges to ensure that the spatial correlation of wind speed sequences can be effectively learned and utilized. The new collaborative filtering on the graph is reflected in the processing of the wind speed sequence. The wind speed is preprocessed from the perspective of pattern mining to effectively integrate various information, and the k -d tree is used to match the wind speed sequence to achieve the purpose of collaborative filtering. Finally, a model with long short-term memory (LSTM) as the main body is constructed for wind speed prediction. By taking the wind speed of the actual wind farm as the research object, we compare the new approach with four typical wind speed prediction methods. The mean square error is reduced by 16.40%, 11.78%, 9.57%, and 18.36%, respectively, which demonstrates the superiority of the proposed new method.

Suggested Citation

  • Xiang Ying & Keke Zhao & Zhiqiang Liu & Jie Gao & Dongxiao He & Xuewei Li & Wei Xiong, 2022. "Wind Speed Prediction via Collaborative Filtering on Virtual Edge Expanding Graphs," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(11), pages 1-16, June.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jmathe:v:10:y:2022:i:11:p:1943-:d:832497
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7390/10/11/1943/pdf
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7390/10/11/1943/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Hu, Huanling & Wang, Lin & Tao, Rui, 2021. "Wind speed forecasting based on variational mode decomposition and improved echo state network," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 164(C), pages 729-751.
    2. Wang, Yun & Wang, Haibo & Srinivasan, Dipti & Hu, Qinghua, 2019. "Robust functional regression for wind speed forecasting based on Sparse Bayesian learning," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 132(C), pages 43-60.
    3. Li, Wenzhe & Jia, Xiaodong & Li, Xiang & Wang, Yinglu & Lee, Jay, 2021. "A Markov model for short term wind speed prediction by integrating the wind acceleration information," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 164(C), pages 242-253.
    4. Aasim, & Singh, S.N. & Mohapatra, Abheejeet, 2019. "Repeated wavelet transform based ARIMA model for very short-term wind speed forecasting," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 136(C), pages 758-768.
    5. Zhang, Zhendong & Ye, Lei & Qin, Hui & Liu, Yongqi & Wang, Chao & Yu, Xiang & Yin, Xingli & Li, Jie, 2019. "Wind speed prediction method using Shared Weight Long Short-Term Memory Network and Gaussian Process Regression," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 247(C), pages 270-284.
    6. Chen, Kuilin & Yu, Jie, 2014. "Short-term wind speed prediction using an unscented Kalman filter based state-space support vector regression approach," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 113(C), pages 690-705.
    7. Zhao, Jing & Guo, Zhen-Hai & Su, Zhong-Yue & Zhao, Zhi-Yuan & Xiao, Xia & Liu, Feng, 2016. "An improved multi-step forecasting model based on WRF ensembles and creative fuzzy systems for wind speed," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 162(C), pages 808-826.
    8. Erdem, Ergin & Shi, Jing, 2011. "ARMA based approaches for forecasting the tuple of wind speed and direction," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 88(4), pages 1405-1414, April.
    9. Liu, Hui & Yang, Rui & Wang, Tiantian & Zhang, Lei, 2021. "A hybrid neural network model for short-term wind speed forecasting based on decomposition, multi-learner ensemble, and adaptive multiple error corrections," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 165(P1), pages 573-594.
    10. Santamaría-Bonfil, G. & Reyes-Ballesteros, A. & Gershenson, C., 2016. "Wind speed forecasting for wind farms: A method based on support vector regression," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 85(C), pages 790-809.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Jialin Liu & Chen Gong & Suhua Chen & Nanrun Zhou, 2023. "Multi-Step-Ahead Wind Speed Forecast Method Based on Outlier Correction, Optimized Decomposition, and DLinear Model," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(12), pages 1-26, June.
    2. Mumin Zhang & Yuzhi Wang & Haochen Zhang & Zhiyun Peng & Junjie Tang, 2023. "A Novel and Robust Wind Speed Prediction Method Based on Spatial Features of Wind Farm Cluster," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(3), pages 1-17, January.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Li, Dan & Jiang, Fuxin & Chen, Min & Qian, Tao, 2022. "Multi-step-ahead wind speed forecasting based on a hybrid decomposition method and temporal convolutional networks," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 238(PC).
    2. Guanjun Liu & Chao Wang & Hui Qin & Jialong Fu & Qin Shen, 2022. "A Novel Hybrid Machine Learning Model for Wind Speed Probabilistic Forecasting," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(19), pages 1-16, September.
    3. Liu, Guanjun & Wang, Yun & Qin, Hui & Shen, Keyan & Liu, Shuai & Shen, Qin & Qu, Yuhua & Zhou, Jianzhong, 2023. "Probabilistic spatiotemporal forecasting of wind speed based on multi-network deep ensembles method," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 209(C), pages 231-247.
    4. Ke Zhang & Xiao Li & Jie Su, 2022. "Variable Support Segment-Based Short-Term Wind Speed Forecasting," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(11), pages 1-18, June.
    5. Liu, Yongqi & Qin, Hui & Zhang, Zhendong & Pei, Shaoqian & Jiang, Zhiqiang & Feng, Zhongkai & Zhou, Jianzhong, 2020. "Probabilistic spatiotemporal wind speed forecasting based on a variational Bayesian deep learning model," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 260(C).
    6. Liu, Xingdou & Zhang, Li & Wang, Jiangong & Zhou, Yue & Gan, Wei, 2023. "A unified multi-step wind speed forecasting framework based on numerical weather prediction grids and wind farm monitoring data," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 211(C), pages 948-963.
    7. Tian, Zhongda & Chen, Hao, 2021. "Multi-step short-term wind speed prediction based on integrated multi-model fusion," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 298(C).
    8. Pei Du & Yu Jin & Kequan Zhang, 2016. "A Hybrid Multi-Step Rolling Forecasting Model Based on SSA and Simulated Annealing—Adaptive Particle Swarm Optimization for Wind Speed," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 8(8), pages 1-25, August.
    9. Chen, Xue-Jun & Zhao, Jing & Jia, Xiao-Zhong & Li, Zhong-Long, 2021. "Multi-step wind speed forecast based on sample clustering and an optimized hybrid system," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 165(P1), pages 595-611.
    10. Bai, Yulong & Liu, Ming-De & Ding, Lin & Ma, Yong-Jie, 2021. "Double-layer staged training echo-state networks for wind speed prediction using variational mode decomposition," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 301(C).
    11. Yang, Zhongshan & Wang, Jian, 2018. "A hybrid forecasting approach applied in wind speed forecasting based on a data processing strategy and an optimized artificial intelligence algorithm," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 160(C), pages 87-100.
    12. Xu, Xuefang & Hu, Shiting & Shao, Huaishuang & Shi, Peiming & Li, Ruixiong & Li, Deguang, 2023. "A spatio-temporal forecasting model using optimally weighted graph convolutional network and gated recurrent unit for wind speed of different sites distributed in an offshore wind farm," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 284(C).
    13. Tian, Chengshi & Hao, Yan & Hu, Jianming, 2018. "A novel wind speed forecasting system based on hybrid data preprocessing and multi-objective optimization," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 231(C), pages 301-319.
    14. Zhang, Fei & Li, Peng-Cheng & Gao, Lu & Liu, Yong-Qian & Ren, Xiao-Ying, 2021. "Application of autoregressive dynamic adaptive (ARDA) model in real-time wind power forecasting," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 169(C), pages 129-143.
    15. Saeed, Adnan & Li, Chaoshun & Gan, Zhenhao & Xie, Yuying & Liu, Fangjie, 2022. "A simple approach for short-term wind speed interval prediction based on independently recurrent neural networks and error probability distribution," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 238(PC).
    16. Wang, Jianzhou & Niu, Tong & Lu, Haiyan & Guo, Zhenhai & Yang, Wendong & Du, Pei, 2018. "An analysis-forecast system for uncertainty modeling of wind speed: A case study of large-scale wind farms," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 211(C), pages 492-512.
    17. Zhao, Jing & Guo, Yanling & Xiao, Xia & Wang, Jianzhou & Chi, Dezhong & Guo, Zhenhai, 2017. "Multi-step wind speed and power forecasts based on a WRF simulation and an optimized association method," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 197(C), pages 183-202.
    18. Cai, Haoshu & Jia, Xiaodong & Feng, Jianshe & Li, Wenzhe & Hsu, Yuan-Ming & Lee, Jay, 2020. "Gaussian Process Regression for numerical wind speed prediction enhancement," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 146(C), pages 2112-2123.
    19. Zhang, Chu & Ji, Chunlei & Hua, Lei & Ma, Huixin & Nazir, Muhammad Shahzad & Peng, Tian, 2022. "Evolutionary quantile regression gated recurrent unit network based on variational mode decomposition, improved whale optimization algorithm for probabilistic short-term wind speed prediction," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 197(C), pages 668-682.
    20. Wang, Shuai & Wang, Jianzhou & Lu, Haiyan & Zhao, Weigang, 2021. "A novel combined model for wind speed prediction – Combination of linear model, shallow neural networks, and deep learning approaches," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 234(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jmathe:v:10:y:2022:i:11:p:1943-:d:832497. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.