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Uncertainty and Risk in the Cryptocurrency Market

Author

Listed:
  • Dora Almeida

    (CEFAGE, IIFA, Universidade de Évora, Largo dos Colegiais 2, 7004-516 Évora, Portugal)

  • Andreia Dionísio

    (CEFAGE, IIFA, Universidade de Évora, Largo dos Colegiais 2, 7004-516 Évora, Portugal)

  • Isabel Vieira

    (CEFAGE, IIFA, Universidade de Évora, Largo dos Colegiais 2, 7004-516 Évora, Portugal)

  • Paulo Ferreira

    (VALORIZA—Research Centre for Endogenous Resource Valorization, 7300-555 Portalegre, Portugal
    Department of Economic Sciences and Organizations, Polytechnic Institute of Portalegre, 7300-555 Portalegre, Portugal)

Abstract

Cryptocurrency investments are often perceived as uncertain and risky. In this study, we assessed if this is indeed the case, using a sample of seven cryptocurrencies and considered a period that encompassed the first real global shock in the life of these relatively new financial assets, the COVID-19 pandemic. Uncertainty was evaluated using Shannon’s symbolic entropy. To measure risk, we use value-at-risk and conditional value-at-risk. The results indicate that, except for Tether, the analyzed cryptocurrencies’ returns exhibited similar patterns of uncertainty and risk. Levels of uncertainty were close to the maximum values, but high uncertainty is not always associated with high risk. During the pandemic crisis, uncertainty increased while risk decreased, suggesting that the considered assets may have safe haven properties.

Suggested Citation

  • Dora Almeida & Andreia Dionísio & Isabel Vieira & Paulo Ferreira, 2022. "Uncertainty and Risk in the Cryptocurrency Market," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 15(11), pages 1-17, November.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jjrfmx:v:15:y:2022:i:11:p:532-:d:972292
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Tetsuya Takaishi, 2023. "Properties of VaR and CVaR Risk Measures in High-Frequency Domain: Long–Short Asymmetry and Significance of the Power-Law Tail," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 16(9), pages 1-13, September.

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