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Measuring the Effects of Climate Change on Wheat Production: Evidence from Northern China

Author

Listed:
  • Huaquan Zhang

    (College of Economics, Sichuan Agricultural University, Chengdu 611130, China)

  • Yashuang Tang

    (College of Economics, Sichuan Agricultural University, Chengdu 611130, China)

  • Abbas Ali Chandio

    (College of Economics, Sichuan Agricultural University, Chengdu 611130, China)

  • Ghulam Raza Sargani

    (College of Economics, Sichuan Agricultural University, Chengdu 611130, China)

  • Martinson Ankrah Twumasi

    (College of Economics, Sichuan Agricultural University, Chengdu 611130, China)

Abstract

The current study examines the long-run effects of climatic factors on wheat production in China’s top three wheat-producing provinces (Hebei, Henan, and Shandong). The data set consists of observations from 1992 to 2020 on which several techniques, namely, fully modified OLS (FMOLS), dynamic OLS (DOLS), and canonical co-integrating regression (CCR) estimators, and Granger causality, are applied. The results reveal that climatic factors, such as temperature and rainfall, negatively influenced wheat production in Henan Province. This means that Henan Province is more vulnerable to climate change. In contrast, it is observed that climatic conditions (via temperature and rainfall) positively contributed to wheat production in Hebei Province. Moreover, temperature negatively influenced wheat production in Shandong Province, while rainfall contributed positively to wheat production. Further, the results of Granger causality reveal that climatic factors and other determinants significantly influenced wheat production in the selected provinces.

Suggested Citation

  • Huaquan Zhang & Yashuang Tang & Abbas Ali Chandio & Ghulam Raza Sargani & Martinson Ankrah Twumasi, 2022. "Measuring the Effects of Climate Change on Wheat Production: Evidence from Northern China," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(19), pages 1-16, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jijerp:v:19:y:2022:i:19:p:12341-:d:927822
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Xuelan Li & Jiyu Jiang & Javier Cifuentes-Faura, 2023. "Coordinated Development and Sustainability of the Agriculture, Climate and Society System in China: Based on the PLE Analysis Framework," Land, MDPI, vol. 12(3), pages 1-19, March.

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