IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jeners/v16y2023i4p1641-d1060146.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Short-Term Occupancy Forecasting for a Smart Home Using Optimized Weight Updates Based on GA and PSO Algorithms for an LSTM Network

Author

Listed:
  • Sameh Mahjoub

    (Laboratory of Innovative Technology (LTI, UR-UPJV 3899), University of Picardie Jules Verne, 80000 Amiens, France)

  • Sami Labdai

    (Laboratory of Innovative Technology (LTI, UR-UPJV 3899), University of Picardie Jules Verne, 80000 Amiens, France)

  • Larbi Chrifi-Alaoui

    (Laboratory of Innovative Technology (LTI, UR-UPJV 3899), University of Picardie Jules Verne, 80000 Amiens, France)

  • Bruno Marhic

    (Laboratory of Innovative Technology (LTI, UR-UPJV 3899), University of Picardie Jules Verne, 80000 Amiens, France)

  • Laurent Delahoche

    (Laboratory of Innovative Technology (LTI, UR-UPJV 3899), University of Picardie Jules Verne, 80000 Amiens, France)

Abstract

In this work, we provide a smart home occupancy prediction technique based on environmental variables such as CO 2 , noise, and relative temperature via our machine learning method and forecasting strategy. The proposed algorithms enhance the energy management system through the optimal use of the electric heating system. The Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) neural network is a special deep learning strategy for processing time series prediction that has shown promising prediction results in recent years. To improve the performance of the LSTM algorithm, particularly for autocorrelation prediction, we will focus on optimizing weight updates using various approaches such as Genetic Algorithm (GA) and Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO). The performances of the proposed methods are evaluated using real available datasets. Test results reveal that the GA and the PSO can forecast the parameters with higher prediction fidelity compared to the LSTM networks. Indeed, all experimental predictions reached a range in their correlation coefficients between 99.16% and 99.97%, which proves the efficiency of the proposed approaches.

Suggested Citation

  • Sameh Mahjoub & Sami Labdai & Larbi Chrifi-Alaoui & Bruno Marhic & Laurent Delahoche, 2023. "Short-Term Occupancy Forecasting for a Smart Home Using Optimized Weight Updates Based on GA and PSO Algorithms for an LSTM Network," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(4), pages 1-18, February.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jeners:v:16:y:2023:i:4:p:1641-:d:1060146
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/16/4/1641/pdf
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/16/4/1641/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Abraham Kaligambe & Goro Fujita & Tagami Keisuke, 2022. "Estimation of Unmeasured Room Temperature, Relative Humidity, and CO 2 Concentrations for a Smart Building Using Machine Learning and Exploratory Data Analysis," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(12), pages 1-12, June.
    2. Christina Turley & Margarite Jacoby & Gregory Pavlak & Gregor Henze, 2020. "Development and Evaluation of Occupancy-Aware HVAC Control for Residential Building Energy Efficiency and Occupant Comfort," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(20), pages 1-30, October.
    3. Pooya Lotfabadi & Polat Hançer, 2019. "A Comparative Study of Traditional and Contemporary Building Envelope Construction Techniques in Terms of Thermal Comfort and Energy Efficiency in Hot and Humid Climates," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(13), pages 1-22, June.
    4. Abhinandana Boodi & Karim Beddiar & Yassine Amirat & Mohamed Benbouzid, 2022. "Building Thermal-Network Models: A Comparative Analysis, Recommendations, and Perspectives," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(4), pages 1-27, February.
    5. Salah Bouktif & Ali Fiaz & Ali Ouni & Mohamed Adel Serhani, 2018. "Optimal Deep Learning LSTM Model for Electric Load Forecasting using Feature Selection and Genetic Algorithm: Comparison with Machine Learning Approaches †," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(7), pages 1-20, June.
    6. Ivan Lorencin & Nikola Anđelić & Vedran Mrzljak & Zlatan Car, 2019. "Genetic Algorithm Approach to Design of Multi-Layer Perceptron for Combined Cycle Power Plant Electrical Power Output Estimation," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(22), pages 1-26, November.
    7. Juncheng Zhu & Zhile Yang & Monjur Mourshed & Yuanjun Guo & Yimin Zhou & Yan Chang & Yanjie Wei & Shengzhong Feng, 2019. "Electric Vehicle Charging Load Forecasting: A Comparative Study of Deep Learning Approaches," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(14), pages 1-19, July.
    8. Ahmed Aljanad & Nadia M. L. Tan & Vassilios G. Agelidis & Hussain Shareef, 2021. "Neural Network Approach for Global Solar Irradiance Prediction at Extremely Short-Time-Intervals Using Particle Swarm Optimization Algorithm," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(4), pages 1-20, February.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Thomas Steens & Jan-Simon Telle & Benedikt Hanke & Karsten von Maydell & Carsten Agert & Gian-Luca Di Modica & Bernd Engel & Matthias Grottke, 2021. "A Forecast-Based Load Management Approach for Commercial Buildings Demonstrated on an Integration of BEV," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(12), pages 1-25, June.
    2. Munseok Chang & Sungwoo Bae & Gilhwan Cha & Jaehyun Yoo, 2021. "Aggregated Electric Vehicle Fast-Charging Power Demand Analysis and Forecast Based on LSTM Neural Network," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(24), pages 1-17, December.
    3. Shafqat Jawad & Junyong Liu, 2020. "Electrical Vehicle Charging Services Planning and Operation with Interdependent Power Networks and Transportation Networks: A Review of the Current Scenario and Future Trends," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(13), pages 1-24, July.
    4. Bingjie Jin & Guihua Zeng & Zhilin Lu & Hongqiao Peng & Shuxin Luo & Xinhe Yang & Haojun Zhu & Mingbo Liu, 2022. "Hybrid LSTM–BPNN-to-BPNN Model Considering Multi-Source Information for Forecasting Medium- and Long-Term Electricity Peak Load," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(20), pages 1-20, October.
    5. Suriyan Jomthanachai & Wai Peng Wong & Khai Wah Khaw, 2024. "An Application of Machine Learning to Logistics Performance Prediction: An Economics Attribute-Based of Collective Instance," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 63(2), pages 741-792, February.
    6. Mst. Shapna Akter & Hossain Shahriar & Reaz Chowdhury & M. R. C. Mahdy, 2022. "Forecasting the Risk Factor of Frontier Markets: A Novel Stacking Ensemble of Neural Network Approach," Future Internet, MDPI, vol. 14(9), pages 1-23, August.
    7. Shree Krishna Acharya & Young-Min Wi & Jaehee Lee, 2019. "Short-Term Load Forecasting for a Single Household Based on Convolution Neural Networks Using Data Augmentation," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(18), pages 1-19, September.
    8. Hao Wang & Chen Peng & Bolin Liao & Xinwei Cao & Shuai Li, 2023. "Wind Power Forecasting Based on WaveNet and Multitask Learning," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(14), pages 1-22, July.
    9. Buzna, Luboš & De Falco, Pasquale & Ferruzzi, Gabriella & Khormali, Shahab & Proto, Daniela & Refa, Nazir & Straka, Milan & van der Poel, Gijs, 2021. "An ensemble methodology for hierarchical probabilistic electric vehicle load forecasting at regular charging stations," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 283(C).
    10. Sandi Baressi Šegota & Nikola Anđelić & Mario Šercer & Hrvoje Meštrić, 2022. "Dynamics Modeling of Industrial Robotic Manipulators: A Machine Learning Approach Based on Synthetic Data," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(7), pages 1-17, April.
    11. Chi Hua & Erxi Zhu & Liang Kuang & Dechang Pi, 2019. "Short-term power prediction of photovoltaic power station based on long short-term memory-back-propagation," International Journal of Distributed Sensor Networks, , vol. 15(10), pages 15501477198, October.
    12. Musaed Alhussein & Syed Irtaza Haider & Khursheed Aurangzeb, 2019. "Microgrid-Level Energy Management Approach Based on Short-Term Forecasting of Wind Speed and Solar Irradiance," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(8), pages 1-27, April.
    13. Ping Chen & Jiawei Gao & Zheng Ji & Han Liang & Yu Peng, 2022. "Do Artificial Intelligence Applications Affect Carbon Emission Performance?—Evidence from Panel Data Analysis of Chinese Cities," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(15), pages 1-16, August.
    14. Huixin Tian & Daixu Ren & Kun Li & Zhen Zhao, 2021. "An adaptive update model based on improved Long Short Term Memory for online prediction of vibration signal," Journal of Intelligent Manufacturing, Springer, vol. 32(1), pages 37-49, January.
    15. Asif Afzal & Saad Alshahrani & Abdulrahman Alrobaian & Abdulrajak Buradi & Sher Afghan Khan, 2021. "Power Plant Energy Predictions Based on Thermal Factors Using Ridge and Support Vector Regressor Algorithms," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(21), pages 1-22, November.
    16. Anh Tuan Phan & Thi Tuyet Hong Vu & Dinh Quang Nguyen & Eleonora Riva Sanseverino & Hang Thi-Thuy Le & Van Cong Bui, 2022. "Data Compensation with Gaussian Processes Regression: Application in Smart Building’s Sensor Network," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(23), pages 1-16, December.
    17. Mark B. Luther & Igor Martek & Mehdi Amirkhani & Gerhard Zucker, 2022. "Special Issue “Environmental Technology Applications in the Retrofitting of Residential Buildings”," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(16), pages 1-4, August.
    18. Rafael Sánchez-Durán & Joaquín Luque & Julio Barbancho, 2019. "Long-Term Demand Forecasting in a Scenario of Energy Transition," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(16), pages 1-23, August.
    19. Pinheiro, Marco G. & Madeira, Sara C. & Francisco, Alexandre P., 2023. "Short-term electricity load forecasting—A systematic approach from system level to secondary substations," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 332(C).
    20. Stefenon, Stefano Frizzo & Seman, Laio Oriel & Aquino, Luiza Scapinello & Coelho, Leandro dos Santos, 2023. "Wavelet-Seq2Seq-LSTM with attention for time series forecasting of level of dams in hydroelectric power plants," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 274(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jeners:v:16:y:2023:i:4:p:1641-:d:1060146. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.