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Scenario Selection for Iterative Stochastic Transmission Expansion Planning

Author

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  • Faezeh Akhavizadegan

    (Department of Industrial and Manufacturing Systems Engineering, Iowa State University, Ames, IA 50011, USA)

  • Lizhi Wang

    (Department of Industrial and Manufacturing Systems Engineering, Iowa State University, Ames, IA 50011, USA)

  • James McCalley

    (Department of Electrical and Computer Engineering, Iowa State University, Ames, IA 50011, USA)

Abstract

Reliable transmission expansion planning is critical to power systems’ development. To make reliable and sustainable transmission expansion plans, numerous sources of uncertainty including demand, generation capacity, and fuel cost must be taken into consideration in both spatial and temporal dimensions. This paper presents a new approach to selecting a small number of high-quality scenarios for transmission expansion. The Kantorovich distance of social welfare distributions was used to assess the quality of the selected scenarios. A case study was conducted on a power system model that represents the U.S. Eastern and Western Interconnections, and ten high-quality scenarios out of a total of one million were selected for two transmission plans. Results suggested that scenarios selected using the proposed algorithm were able to provide a much more accurate estimation of the value of transmission plans than other scenario selection algorithms in the literature.

Suggested Citation

  • Faezeh Akhavizadegan & Lizhi Wang & James McCalley, 2020. "Scenario Selection for Iterative Stochastic Transmission Expansion Planning," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(5), pages 1-18, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jeners:v:13:y:2020:i:5:p:1203-:d:329051
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Yilin Xie & Ying Xu, 2022. "Transmission Expansion Planning Considering Wind Power and Load Uncertainties," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(19), pages 1-18, September.
    2. Victor H. Hinojosa & Joaquín Sepúlveda, 2020. "Solving the Stochastic Generation and Transmission Capacity Planning Problem Applied to Large-Scale Power Systems Using Generalized Shift-Factors," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(13), pages 1-15, June.
    3. Hamdi Abdi & Mansour Moradi & Sara Lumbreras, 2021. "Metaheuristics and Transmission Expansion Planning: A Comparative Case Study," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(12), pages 1-23, June.
    4. Abdulaziz Almalaq & Khalid Alqunun & Mohamed M. Refaat & Anouar Farah & Fares Benabdallah & Ziad M. Ali & Shady H. E. Abdel Aleem, 2022. "Towards Increasing Hosting Capacity of Modern Power Systems through Generation and Transmission Expansion Planning," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(5), pages 1-26, March.

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