IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/ers/journl/vxxy2017i3ap3-13.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Exchange Rate Volatility and Export Volume: The Case of Indonesia and its Main Trading Partners

Author

Listed:
  • Sugiharso Safuan

Abstract

This paper examines the impact of exchange rate volatility on Indonesia's export to-United States, Japan and China using both aggregate and disaggregate data. We first estimated each pair country with export demand equations based on data from 1996 to 2014. A set of export demand equations is estimated by using Seemingly Unrelated Regression to characterized the correlation of the disturbances across equations. In general, the estimation result shows that exchange rate volatility has negative impact on export. Estimations based on disaggregate data indicate that the impact of the exchange rate volatility on exports remains negative however it varies among industries in the countries under investigation.

Suggested Citation

  • Sugiharso Safuan, 2017. "Exchange Rate Volatility and Export Volume: The Case of Indonesia and its Main Trading Partners," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(3A), pages 3-13.
  • Handle: RePEc:ers:journl:v:xx:y:2017:i:3a:p:3-13
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://ersj.eu/dmdocuments/2017-xx-3-a-1.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Eleftherios Thalassinos & Erginbay Ugurlu & Yusuf Muratoglu, 2012. "Income Inequality and Inflation in the EU," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(1), pages 127-140.
    2. Klein, Michael W., 1990. "Sectoral effects of exchange rate volatility on United States exports," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 9(3), pages 299-308, September.
    3. Besnik Fetai, 2015. "Financial Integration and Financial Development: Does Financial Integration Matter?," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(2), pages 97-106.
    4. Verbon, H. A. A., 1980. "Testing for heteroscedasticity in a model of seemingly unrelated regression equations with variance components (SUREVC)," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 5(2), pages 149-153.
    5. Jean-Pierre Allegret & Helene Raymond & Houda Rharrabti, 2016. "The Impact of the Eurozone Crisis on European Banks Stocks Contagion or Interdependence?," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(1), pages 129-148.
    6. Michael S. Miller & Jin W. Choi, 2014. "The Effectiveness of the Federal Funds Rate as the U.S. Monetary Policy Tool Before, During and After the Great Recession," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(3), pages 37-58.
    7. N.G. Vovchenko & M.G. Holina & A.S. Orobinskiy & R.A. Sichev, 2017. "Ensuring Financial Stability of Companies on the Basis of International Experience in Construction of Risks Maps, Internal Control and Audit," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(1), pages 350-368.
    8. Byrne, Joseph P. & Darby, Julia & MacDonald, Ronald, 2008. "US trade and exchange rate volatility: A real sectoral bilateral analysis," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 30(1), pages 238-259, March.
    9. Tulus Suryanto & Ridwansyah Ridwansyah, 2016. "The Shariah Financial Accounting Standards: How they Prevent Fraud in Islamic Banking," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(4), pages 140-157.
    10. Avery, Robert B, 1977. "Error Components and Seemingly Unrelated Regressions," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 45(1), pages 199-209, January.
    11. Liviu Deceanu & Mirela Pintea & El Thalassinos & Vicky Zampeta, 2010. "New Dimensions of Country Risk in the Context of the Current Crisis: A Case Study for Romania and Greece," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(3), pages 225-236.
    12. Franke, Gunter, 1991. "Exchange rate volatility and international trading strategy," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 10(2), pages 292-307, June.
    13. Silviu Carstina & Marian Siminica & Daniel Circiumaru & Anca Tanasie, 2015. "Correlation Analysis of the Indicators of Asset Management and Profitability," International Journal of Economics & Business Administration (IJEBA), International Journal of Economics & Business Administration (IJEBA), vol. 0(2), pages 3-21.
    14. Eleftherios I. Thalassinos & Erginbay Ugurlu & Yusuf Muratoglu, 2015. "Comparison of Forecasting Volatility in the Czech Republic Stock Market," Applied Economics and Finance, Redfame publishing, vol. 2(1), pages 11-18, February.
    15. Ramona Rupeika-Apoga & Roberts Nedovis, 2015. "The Foreign Exchange Exposure of Non-Financial Companies in Eurozone: Myth or Reality?," International Journal of Economics & Business Administration (IJEBA), International Journal of Economics & Business Administration (IJEBA), vol. 0(1), pages 54-66.
    16. Sergey Vladimirovitch Anureev, 2017. "Reconfiguration of Financial System Elements to Restore Economic Growth: The System Simplicity and Transformation towards State-Based and Corporate-Based Types," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(2A), pages 281-307.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Adedeji Daniel Gbadebo, 2023. "Does Exchange Rates Swings Affect Trade? Evidence from an Emerging Open Economy," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 13(1), pages 132-143, January.
    2. Viviane Naimy & Rim El Khoury & José-María Montero & Jana Souk, 2023. "Post-Brexit exchange rate volatility and its impact on UK exports to eurozone countries: A bounds testing approach," Oeconomia Copernicana, Institute of Economic Research, vol. 14(1), pages 135-168, March.
    3. Vietha Devia S.S., 2019. "The Correlation of Exchange Rate and Inflation and Its Effect on Stock Markets. Case Study on Consumer Good Index Indonesia: 2004 – 2017," Academic Journal of Economic Studies, Faculty of Finance, Banking and Accountancy Bucharest,"Dimitrie Cantemir" Christian University Bucharest, vol. 5(2), pages 32-44, June.
    4. Innocent U Duru & Millicent Adanne Eze & Abubakar Sadiq Saleh & Benedict I Uzoechina & Gabriel O Ebenyi & Ekechi Chukwuka, 2022. "Exchange Rate Volatility and Exports: The Nigerian Scenario," Asian Journal of Empirical Research, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 12(1), pages 11-28.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Nikolay Tikhomirov & Tatiana Tikhomirova & Eldar Khamitov & Vladimir Ponomarev, 2017. "Models of Assessment of the Influnce of Insurance Assets Securitization on Stability of Mutual Insurance Societies," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(2B), pages 321-333.
    2. Agus Zainul Arifin, 2017. "The Influence of Financial Knowledge, Control and Income on Individual Financial Behavior," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(3A), pages 635-648.
    3. Winston Pontoh, 2017. "The Capital Structure: Is Debt just a Policy or Requerement?," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(2A), pages 128-139.
    4. Cicih Ratnasih, 2017. "How Financial Sector and Social Overhead Capital Determine GDP Growth," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(3A), pages 660-672.
    5. N.G. Vovchenko & M.G. Holina & A.S. Orobinskiy & R.A. Sichev, 2017. "Ensuring Financial Stability of Companies on the Basis of International Experience in Construction of Risks Maps, Internal Control and Audit," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(1), pages 350-368.
    6. T.L. Bezrukova & Yu.N. Stepanova & I.I. Shanin & Yu.V. Busarina & S.Yu. Nesterov, 2017. "Aspect-Oriented, Key-Index Based Regional Business Entities' Evaluation Framework," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(3B), pages 183-192.
    7. Anatoliy Ivanovich Belousov & Galina Vasilevna Mikhailova & Fatima Magamedovna Uzdenova & Viktoria Georgievna Blokhina, 2017. "Accounting Engineering Tools in the Research of Economic Costs and Benefits," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(3B), pages 13-21.
    8. P. Purwanto & Jillian Agustin, 2017. "Financial Performance towards Value of Firms in Basic and Chemicals Industry," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(2A), pages 443-460.
    9. M.A. Surzhikov & A.A. Sycheva, 2017. "Process Approach to Modeling of National and Global Securities Market Operation," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(3B), pages 84-91.
    10. Andrei V. Vlasov, 2017. "The Evolution of E-Money," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(1), pages 215-224.
    11. Ramona Rupeika-Apoga & Roberts Nedovis, 2015. "The Foreign Exchange Exposure of Non-Financial Companies in Eurozone: Myth or Reality?," International Journal of Economics & Business Administration (IJEBA), International Journal of Economics & Business Administration (IJEBA), vol. 0(1), pages 54-66.
    12. Е.О. Mirgorodskaya & L.Yu. Andreeva & I.V. Sugarova & R.A. Sichev, 2017. "Balanced Budget System: Organizational and Financial Tools," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(3B), pages 300-319.
    13. Constantin Zaman & Bogdan Meunier, 2017. "A Decade of EU Membership: Evolution of Competitiveness in Romania," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(2A), pages 224-236.
    14. Peter J Baldacchino & Rosalene Caruana & Simon Grima & Frank H. Bezzina, 2017. "Selected Behavioural Factors in Client-Initiated Auditor Changes: The Client-Auditor Perspectives," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(2A), pages 16-47.
    15. Theodore Katsanevas, 2016. "Currency Wars, Recession Policies and the Overvalued Euro are to be Blamed for the Modern Greek Tragedy," International Journal of Economics & Business Administration (IJEBA), International Journal of Economics & Business Administration (IJEBA), vol. 0(1), pages 3-19.
    16. Agrianti Komalasari, 2017. "Implementation the International Financial Reporting Standards as a Moderating Variable of the Relationship of Corporate Governance with Earnings Management," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(3A), pages 259-277.
    17. Mustafa Raza Rabbani & Shahnawaz Khan & Eleftherios I. Thalassinos, 2020. "FinTech, Blockchain and Islamic Finance: An Extensive Literature Review," International Journal of Economics & Business Administration (IJEBA), International Journal of Economics & Business Administration (IJEBA), vol. 0(2), pages 65-86.
    18. Helmut Herwartz & Henning Weber, 2005. "Exchange rate uncertainty and trade growth—a comparison of linear and non‐linear (forecasting) models," Applied Stochastic Models in Business and Industry, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 21(1), pages 1-26, January.
    19. R.V. Shekhovtsov & S.N. Shchemlev, 2017. "State Investment Policy and Priorities of Macroeconomic Structure of Regional Economy Transformation," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(3B), pages 148-162.
    20. Jonathan M. Chipili, 2013. "Exchange Rate Volatility and Trade Flows in Zambia," African Development Review, African Development Bank, vol. 25(1), pages 55-66, March.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ers:journl:v:xx:y:2017:i:3a:p:3-13. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Marios Agiomavritis (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://ersj.eu/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.