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Navigational Risk of Ships Proceeding Through a Fairway

Author

Listed:
  • Stanisław Gucma
  • Rafal Gralak
  • Bartosz Muczynski
  • Mateusz Bilewski

Abstract

Purpose: Navigational risk is a criterion for navigational safety assessment on fairways. To estimate navigational risk, we must determine the probability of an accident and its consequences. Design/Methodology/Approach: The authors have developed methods of determining navigational risks caused by deterioration in navigational conditions during the passage of ships through the waterway system and for the estimation of risk caused by shipboard equipment failures. In a simulation experiment, full ships with 5.000 DWT to 100.000 DWT capacity performed emergency stopping after rudder jamming. Findings: The results of simulation tests developed in the form of mathematical models constitute data for the determination of ship's navigational risk due to rudder failure. Practical implications: The models can be used for defining simplified relationships allowing authors to determine the width of safe emergency manoeuvring areas. Originality value: The procedure has been developed and navigation algorithms for determining the risk associated with the failure of the steering of the vessel passing through the different types of the fairway.

Suggested Citation

  • Stanisław Gucma & Rafal Gralak & Bartosz Muczynski & Mateusz Bilewski, 2021. "Navigational Risk of Ships Proceeding Through a Fairway," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(3), pages 811-832.
    • Handle: RePEc:ers:journl:v:xxiv:y:2021:i:3:p:811-832
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
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    5. J. Dorp & Jason Merrick, 2011. "On a risk management analysis of oil spill risk using maritime transportation system simulation," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 187(1), pages 249-277, July.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Navigational safety; navigational risks in fairways; ship emergency manoeuvres; ship simulation; maritime traffic engineering.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • R41 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Transportation Economics - - - Transportation: Demand, Supply, and Congestion; Travel Time; Safety and Accidents; Transportation Noise

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