An Analysis of Firms’ Expectations about Activity and Employment
AbstractThis paper uses individual firm data from the Cyprus Business Surveys for the period May 2009 - April 2011 to assess the extent to which expectations about activity and employment stated in a given month agree with realisations reported by the same firms in subsequent Surveys. The results show that the probability of a firm stating expectations that are consistent with future realisations varies systematically with firm-specific characteristics such as size, district and subsector of operation. The heterogeneity in this probability can be viewed as a description of the shocks experienced ex post by different types of firms
Download InfoIf you experience problems downloading a file, check if you have the proper application to view it first. In case of further problems read the IDEAS help page. Note that these files are not on the IDEAS site. Please be patient as the files may be large.
Bibliographic InfoArticle provided by University of Cyprus, Economics Research Centre in its journal Cyprus Economic Policy Review.
Volume (Year): 5 (2011)
Issue (Month): 1 (June)
Contact details of provider:
Postal: P O Box 20537, 1678 Nicosia
Phone: + 357 22892429
Fax: + 357 22892426
Web page: http://www.ucy.ac.cy/goto/ecorece/el-GR/HOME.aspx
More information through EDIRC
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
- Bob McNabb & Karl Taylor, 2002.
"Business Cycles and the Role of Confidence: Evidence from Europe,"
Discussion Papers in Economics
02/3, Department of Economics, University of Leicester.
- Karl Taylor & Robert McNabb, 2007. "Business Cycles and the Role of Confidence: Evidence for Europe," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 69(2), pages 185-208, 04.
- Hansson, Jesper & Jansson, Per & Lof, Marten, 2005. "Business survey data: Do they help in forecasting GDP growth?," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 21(2), pages 377-389.
- Claveria, Oscar & Pons, Ernest & Ramos, Raul, 2007. "Business and consumer expectations and macroeconomic forecasts," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 23(1), pages 47-69.
- Andrea Carriero & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2007.
"Sectoral Survey-based Confidence Indicators for Europe,"
320, IGIER (Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research), Bocconi University.
- Andrea Carriero & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2011. "Sectoral Survey‐based Confidence Indicators for Europe," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 73(2), pages 175-206, 04.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (Angela Shekersavva).
If references are entirely missing, you can add them using this form.