IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/ejn/ejssjr/v8y2020i3p123-133.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Wavelet Analysis of the Euro and its Co-Movement with Four Exchange Rates

Author

Listed:
  • Meifen Chu

    (Kyushu University, Japan)

Abstract

The objective of this study is to examine the characteristics of the Euro exchange rate and its comovement with four main currencies (the AUD, POUND, YEN, and RMB). After the Euro was adopted as an official currency in EU area, it grew rapidly and became the second most-traded currency in the world. The increasing importance of the Euro drew much attention from researchers and policymakers. This paper employs the wavelet analysis, which has become popular and recently is applied in various fields, such as medical science, radio science and social science. First, this paper observes five currency exchange series: the EURO, AUD, POUND, YEN and RMB. Next, using wavelet analysis, it examines the characteristics of each series. Then, a wavelet coherence analysis is used to examine the interdependence between the EURO and the other four currencies. The results indicate that the Euro displays a greater interdependence with the AUD and POUND, while it has lesser correlations with the YEN and RMB. This implies the Euro co-moves with the American and European exchange markets while it is less related with the Asian counterpart. It is interesting to note that the Yen led the Euro during the global financial crisis. Further, the Euro has interdependence with the four exchange rates at shorter periodicities during the crisis periods and is correlated with the four at long periodicities in the long run.

Suggested Citation

  • Meifen Chu, 2020. "Wavelet Analysis of the Euro and its Co-Movement with Four Exchange Rates," Eurasian Journal of Social Sciences, Eurasian Publications, vol. 8(3), pages 123-133.
    • Handle: RePEc:ejn:ejssjr:v:8:y:2020:i:3:p:123-133
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://eurasianpublications.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/02/EJSS-8.3.4.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. de Zwart, Gerben & Markwat, Thijs & Swinkels, Laurens & van Dijk, Dick, 2009. "The economic value of fundamental and technical information in emerging currency markets," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 28(4), pages 581-604, June.
    2. Aguiar-Conraria, LuI´s & Joana Soares, Maria, 2011. "Business cycle synchronization and the Euro: A wavelet analysis," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 33(3), pages 477-489, September.
    3. Ender Demir & Mehmet Huseyin Bilgin & Gokhan Karabulut & Asli Cansin Doker, 2020. "The relationship between cryptocurrencies and COVID-19 pandemic," Eurasian Economic Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 10(3), pages 349-360, September.
    4. Karabulut, Gokhan & Bilgin, Mehmet Huseyin & Doker, Asli Cansin, 2020. "The relationship between commodity prices and world trade uncertainty," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 276-281.
    5. Paul De Grauwe & Marianna Grimaldi, 2002. "The Exchange Rate and its Fundamentals. A Chaotic Perspective," CESifo Working Paper Series 639, CESifo.
    6. Engle, Robert F, 1982. "Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity with Estimates of the Variance of United Kingdom Inflation," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 50(4), pages 987-1007, July.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Chu, Meifen, 2021. "Bitcoin and traditional currencies during the Covid-19 pandemic period," MPRA Paper 110117, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Marfatia, Hardik A., 2017. "A fresh look at integration of risks in the international stock markets: A wavelet approach," Review of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 34(C), pages 33-49.
    3. Dervis Kirikkaleli & Hasan Güngör, 2021. "Co-movement of commodity price indexes and energy price index: a wavelet coherence approach," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 7(1), pages 1-18, December.
    4. Saeed Sazzad Jeris & Ridoy Deb Nath, 2021. "US banks in the time of COVID-19: fresh insights from the wavelet approach," Eurasian Economic Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 11(2), pages 349-361, June.
    5. Sang Hoon Kang & Seong-Min Yoon & Stelios Bekiros & Gazi S. Uddin, 2020. "Bitcoin as Hedge or Safe Haven: Evidence from Stock, Currency, Bond and Derivatives Markets," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 56(2), pages 529-545, August.
    6. Shakir, Zeeniya & Masih, Mansur, 2016. "How is the European debt crisis affecting islamic equity? challenges in portfolio diversification within the eurozone: A markov switching and continuous wavelet transform analysis," MPRA Paper 71683, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    7. Nikolaos A. Kyriazis, 2021. "Trade Policy Uncertainty Effects on Macro Economy and Financial Markets: An Integrated Survey and Empirical Investigation," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(1), pages 1-20, January.
    8. Fathi Abid & Bilel Kaffel, 2018. "The extent of virgin olive-oil prices’ distribution revealing the behavior of market speculators," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 50(2), pages 561-590, February.
    9. Ledenyov, Dimitri O. & Ledenyov, Viktor O., 2015. "Wave function method to forecast foreign currencies exchange rates at ultra high frequency electronic trading in foreign currencies exchange markets," MPRA Paper 67470, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    10. Walid Chkili, 2021. "Modeling Bitcoin price volatility: long memory vs Markov switching," Eurasian Economic Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 11(3), pages 433-448, September.
    11. Lindman, Sebastian & Tuvhag, Tom & Jayasekera, Ranadeva & Uddin, Gazi Salah & Troster, Victor, 2020. "Market Impact on financial market integration: Cross-quantilogram analysis of the global impact of the euro," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 42-73.
    12. María del Carmen Valls Martínez & Pedro Antonio Martín Cervantes, 2021. "Testing the Resilience of CSR Stocks during the COVID-19 Crisis: A Transcontinental Analysis," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(5), pages 1-24, March.
    13. Abokyi, Emmanuel & Asiedu, Kofi Fred, 2021. "Agricultural policy and commodity price stabilisation in Ghana: The role of buffer stockholding operations," African Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, African Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 16(4), December.
    14. Emeka Nkoro & Aham Kelvin Uko, 2016. "Exchange Rate and Inflation Volatility and Stock Prices Volatility: Evidence from Nigeria, 1986-2012," Journal of Applied Finance & Banking, SCIENPRESS Ltd, vol. 6(6), pages 1-4.
    15. Minot, Nicholas, 2014. "Food price volatility in sub-Saharan Africa: Has it really increased?," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 45-56.
    16. Lubos Hanus & Lukas Vacha, 2015. "Business cycle synchronization of the Visegrad Four and the European Union," Working Papers IES 2015/19, Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, Institute of Economic Studies, revised Jul 2015.
    17. Shively, Gerald E., 2001. "Price thresholds, price volatility, and the private costs of investment in a developing country grain market," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 18(3), pages 399-414, August.
    18. Athanasopoulos, George & de Carvalho Guillén, Osmani Teixeira & Issler, João Victor & Vahid, Farshid, 2011. "Model selection, estimation and forecasting in VAR models with short-run and long-run restrictions," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 164(1), pages 116-129, September.
    19. Eric Ghysels & Leonardo Iania & Jonas Striaukas, 2018. "Quantile-based Inflation Risk Models," Working Paper Research 349, National Bank of Belgium.
    20. Tomanova, Lucie, 2013. "Exchange Rate Volatility and the Foreign Trade in CEEC," EY International Congress on Economics I (EYC2013), October 24-25, 2013, Ankara, Turkey 267, Ekonomik Yaklasim Association.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ejn:ejssjr:v:8:y:2020:i:3:p:123-133. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Esra Barakli (email available below). General contact details of provider: .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.