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When Are State Lotteries a Good Bet?

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Author Info
Anthony C. Krautmann (De Paul University)
James E. Ciecka (De Paul University)
Abstract

This paper outlines the conditions under which a state-run lottery yields an expected return greater than its costs. The analysis considers the possibility of multiple winner, the fact that lottery winnings are typically paid out over a 10 to 20 year span, the taxation of lottery winnings as income, and the government's vigorish. We also derive the conditions under which it is worthwhile to buy every possible outcome of the litter, hence guaranteeing a winning ticket. We then apply our analysis to the recent $106.5 million Florida Lottery and the $27 million Virginia Lottery in which an Australian consortium attempted to buy the pot.

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File URL: http://college.holycross.edu/eej/Volume19/V19N2P157_164.pdf
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Publisher Info
Article provided by Eastern Economic Association in its journal Eastern Economic Journal.

Volume (Year): 19 (1993)
Issue (Month): 2 (Spring)
Pages: 157-164
Download reference. The following formats are available: HTML (with abstract), plain text (with abstract), BibTeX, RIS (EndNote, RefMan, ProCite), ReDIF
Handle: RePEc:eej:eeconj:v:19:y:1993:i:2:p:157-164

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Related research
Keywords: Lotto; Lotteries;

Find related papers by JEL classification:
D81 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Criteria for Decision-Making under Risk and Uncertainty

Cited by:
(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Victor Matheson & Kent Grote, 2004. "In Search of a Fair Bet in the Lottery," Working Papers 0401, College of the Holy Cross, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  2. Frank, Sascha & Rehm, Jan, 2007. "An unnoted fair bet in german state run lotteries, a short notice," MPRA Paper 5765, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]
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This page was last updated on 2009-10-22.


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